THE INTERRELATIONSHIP BETWEEN MSME GROWTH, INVESTMENT, AND EMPLOYMENT: A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS IN ASSAM, INDIA
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.29121/shodhkosh.v5.i3.2024.5062Keywords:
Msme, Assam, Forecasting, Cagr and RegressionAbstract [English]
The Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) sector is a vital pillar of the Indian economy, significantly contributing to gross domestic product (GDP), industrial output, employment, and exports. This study explores MSME growth and its impact on employment generation in Assam from 2010 to 2020, using secondary data from MSME annual reports, the Assam Statistical Handbook, and other sources. The analysis examines trends in MSMEs, jobs, and investments, employing forecasting, regression analysis, and confidence intervals to assess growth patterns. Results reveal fluctuating trends in MSMEs, employment, and investments, with notable peaks in 2020-2021. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for MSMEs and jobs was 16.23% and 16.39%, respectively, indicating strong growth despite occasional declines. Regression analysis shows a significant positive correlation between MSMEs and job creation, while investment had a lesser impact. The findings emphasize MSMEs as key drivers of employment in Assam, offering valuable insights for policymakers.
References
Adjabeng, F. N. and Osei, F. (2022). ‘The Development of Small Medium Enterprises and their Impact on the Ghanaian Economy’, Open Journal of Business and Management, Vol. 10, pp.2939-2958. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4236/ojbm.2022.106145
Adviento, Eliza N., et al. (2022) ‘Philippine MSMEs-Impact on Sustainable Economic Development in Employment Generation, Income Inequality, and Poverty’, UJoST-Universal Journal of Science and Technology, Vol. 1, No. 2, pp.222–260.
Ajiuwon, O. S., Sylvanus I., and Joseph O. A. (2017) ‘MSMEs and employment generation in Nigeria’, The Journal of Developing Areas Vol. 51, No. 3, pp.229–249. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1353/jda.2017.0070
Amoah, John, et al. (2022) ‘Enhancing SME contribution to economic development: A perspective from an emerging economy,’ Journal of International Studies. DOI: https://doi.org/10.14254/2071-8330.2022/15-2/5
Arifin, R., Ningsih, A. A. T., and Putri, A. K. (2021) ‘The important role of MSMEs in improving the economy’, East Asia Journal of Contemporary Business, Economics and Law, Vol. 24, No. 6, pp.52–59.
Bordoloi, A. (2023) ‘MSME in Assam and Policy Initiatives’, International Journal of Novel Research and Development, Vol. 8, No. 5, pp.76–87.
Cho, Janghee, et al. (2017) ‘Job creation and destruction: New evidence on the role of small versus young firms in Korea’, The Japanese Economic Review, Vol. 68, No. 2, pp.173–187. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/jere.12133
Gade, S. (2018) ‘MSMEs' role in economic growth -a study on India's perspective’, International Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics, Vol. 118, pp.1727-1742.
Gadenne, D. (1998) ‘Critical success factors for small business: an inter-industry comparison, International Small Business Journal, Vol. 17, No. 1, pp.36–56. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/0266242698171002
Gaikwad, A. and Dhokare, C. S. (2020) ‘India: A growth opportunities for MSME’, International Journal of Multidisciplinary Research, Vol. 6, No. 6, pp.25–30.
Hassan, T. and Ahmad, B. (2016) ‘The role of micro enterprises in employment and income generation: a case study of Timergara City Dir (L) Pakistan’, International Journal of Economics & Management Sciences, Vol. 5, No. 2, pp.1–5. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4172/2162-6359.1000318
Khatri, P. (2019) ‘A study of the challenges of the Indian MSME sector’, IOSR Journal of Business and Management, Vol. 21, No. 2, pp. 5–13.
Manzoor, F., Longbao W. and Mahwish, S. (2021) ‘Small and medium-sized enterprises and economic growth in Pakistan: An ARDL bounds cointegration approach’, Heliyon, Vol. 7, No. 2, pp.e06340. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e06340
Markatou, M. (2012) ‘The role and the importance of the Greek SMEs in the production of innovation’, Journal of Innovation and Business Best Practices, 1. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5171/2012.268692
Maziku, P., Annastazia M., and Galan R. M. (2014) ‘The effects of socio-cultural factors on the performance of women small and medium enterprises in Tanzania’, Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, Vol. 5, No. 21, pp.51–62.
Mouelhi, R.B.A and Ghazali, M. (2021) ‘Growth of Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) in MENA countries: Constraints and Success Factors’, Sustainable Business and Society in Emerging Economics, Vol. 3, No. 2, pp.59–73. DOI: https://doi.org/10.26710/sbsee.v3i1.1643
Prakash, P., Verma, P. L., and Negi, V. (2023) ‘MSMEs: Its role in inclusive growth in India’, IIFT International Business and Management Review Journal, Vol. 1, No. 2, pp.120–131. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/jiift.231191159
Prasetyo, P. E. (2021) ‘The role of MSME on unemployment in Indonesia’, Turkish Journal of Computer and Mathematics Education (TURCOMAT), Vol. 12, No.13, pp.2519–2525.
Premavalli, P. V. (2012) ‘Light engineering units in North Malabar, Kerala and employment generation’, International Journal of Research in Computer Application and Management, Vol. 4, No. 10, pp.31-43
Purwaningsih, E., Muslikh, M. and Suhaeri, S. (2022) ‘Innovation and supply chain orientation concerns toward job creation law in micro, small, and medium enterprises export-oriented products’, Uncertain Supply Chain Management, Vol. 10, No. 1, pp.69-82 DOI: https://doi.org/10.5267/j.uscm.2021.10.009
Raghuvanshi, J. and Garg, C.P. (2018) ‘Time to get into the action Unveiling the unknown of innovation capability in Indian MSMEs’ Asia Pacific Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship, Vol. 12, No. 3, pp.279–299. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/APJIE-06-2018-0041
Sarmah, A., Saikia, B. and Tripathi, D. (2021) ‘Can unemployment be answered by Micro Small and Medium Enterprises? Evidences from Assam’, Indian Growth and Development Review, Vol. 14 No. 2, pp. 199–222. https://doi.org/10.1108/IGDR-09-2020-0140 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IGDR-09-2020-0140
Singh, A. (2021) ‘MSMEs sector in India: current status and prospect’, International Journal of Innovative Research in Engineering & Management, Vol. 8, No. 4, pp.42–45. DOI: https://doi.org/10.21276/ijirem.2021.8.4.7
Supriadi, I., Maghfiroh, R. U. and Abadi, R. (2023) ‘Transforming MSMEs through Innovation and Technology: Driving Growth and Sustainability in the Digital Age’, Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research, 267. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2991/978-94-6463-302-3_28
Taiwo, Muritala A., Awolaja M. Ayodeji, and Bako A. Yusuf. (2012) ‘Impact of small and medium enterprises on economic growth and development’, American Journal of Business and Management, Vol. 1, No. 1, pp.18-22. DOI: https://doi.org/10.11634/21679606170644
Tiwari, S. (2011) ‘MSME Sector in India: Performance and Prospects’, LBS Journal of Management & Research, Vol. 9, pp.37–43.
Vinila, T. (2022) ‘Importance of the MSMEs to the economy: challenges and measures’, IJO-International Journal of Social Science and Humanities Research, Vol. 5, No. 8, pp.52–62.
Walker, E., and Brown, A. (2004) ‘What success factors are important to small business owners?’, International Small Business Journal, Vol. 22, No. 6, pp.577–594. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/0266242604047411
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Phung Roje Muchahary, Dr. Pradip Brahmachary

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
With the licence CC-BY, authors retain the copyright, allowing anyone to download, reuse, re-print, modify, distribute, and/or copy their contribution. The work must be properly attributed to its author.
It is not necessary to ask for further permission from the author or journal board.
This journal provides immediate open access to its content on the principle that making research freely available to the public supports a greater global exchange of knowledge.