• Marc Niyongendako Institute Of Mathematics And Physical Sciences, University Of Abomey-calavi, P.O.Box. 613 Porto-novo, Benin
  • Agnidé Emmanuel Lawin Laboratory of Applied Hydrology, National Institute of Water, University of Abomey-Calavi, P.O.Box 2041 Calavi, Benin
  • Célestin Manirakiza Département Des Sciences Naturelles, Ecole Normale Supérieure Du Burundi, P.O.Box. 6983 Bujumbura, Burundi
  • Serge Dimitri Yikwé Buri Bazyomo Université De Dédougou, P.O.Box 176 Dédougou, Burkina Faso
  • Batablinlè Lamboni Institute Of Mathematics And Physical Sciences, University Of Abomey-calavi, P.O.Box. 613 Porto-novo, Benin



Burundi, Pv Power Potentia, Climate Change Impacts, Solar Irradiance, Temperature


This work focuses on analysis of climate change effects on Photovoltaic (PV) power output in the Eastern and Northeastern of Burundi. Monthly temperature data from meteorological stations and solar irradiance data provided by SoDa database were considered as observed dataset for the historical period 1981-2010. Projection climate data from eight Regional Climate Models of CORDEX for Africa were used over the near future period 2021-2050. The change in temperature and solar irradiance were analyzed and the effects of these climate changes were assessed to show their impacts on PV power potential. The results indicated increasing trends and change in temperature for about 2°C over this near future period. The solar irradiance change was revealed negative with a high interannual variation for all regions and the mean decrease ranges between 2 and 4 W/m². The findings revealed also a negative change in PV power potential close to zero for all regions with a high change occurred in NLL. Indeed, the contribution of each parameter to PV power potential change was negative all over regions. However, the projected climate change does not predict a huge PV power potential change by 2050. Therefore, Burundi may invest in producing electricity energy from PV systems.


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How to Cite

Niyongendako, M., Lawin, A. E., Manirakiza, C., Bazyomo, S. D. Y. B., & Lamboni, B. (2020). CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON PROJECTED PV POWER POTENTIAL UNDER RCP 8.5 SCENARIO IN BURUNDI. International Journal of Research -GRANTHAALAYAH, 8(5), 1–14.