VERIFICATION OF MEDIUM RANGE WEATHER FORECAST IN NORTH GUJARAT

Authors

  • Sevak Das Department of Agricultural Meteorology, C. P. College of Agriculture, Sardarkrushinagar (Gujarat), India
  • A. I. Desai S.D. Agricultural University, Sardarkrushinagar (Gujarat), India

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.29121/granthaalayah.v6.i1.2018.1598

Keywords:

Temperature, Rainfall, Wind Speed, Forecast and Usability

Abstract [English]

The medium range weather forecast issued from NCMRWF, Noida on rainfall, maximum temperature, minimum temperature and wind speed for the last 18 years (1999-2016) has been verified with observed weather parameters recorded at agrometeorological observatory, Sardarkrushinagar to known its accuracy. The results revealed that the usability of rainfall was higher in pre monsoon, post monsoon and winter seasons. However, during monsoon, the accuracy of rainfall forecast was 78 percent with RMSE value of 15.3 that indicated the lower accuracy. The maximum temperature forecast accuracy was very good varied from 76 to 88% in different seasons. Similarly, minimum temperature forecast was excellent in monsoon season (88%), and poor in winter season (57%). The wind speed forecast was excellent in all the seasons.

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References

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Published

2018-01-31

How to Cite

Das, S., & Desai, A. I. (2018). VERIFICATION OF MEDIUM RANGE WEATHER FORECAST IN NORTH GUJARAT. International Journal of Research -GRANTHAALAYAH, 6(1), 102–106. https://doi.org/10.29121/granthaalayah.v6.i1.2018.1598