THE NORTHERN SEA ROUTE, ECOSYSTEMS, NATURE-LIKE TECHNOLOGIES, SCIENCE AND EDUCATION, CONFLICTS DURING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE NINTH TECHNOLOGICAL ORDER1 Doctor of Technical Sciences, Associate Professor, Moscow, Russia. |
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Received 1 September 2021 Accepted 15 September2021 Published 4 December 2021 Corresponding Author V.V.
Glushchenko, valery.v.glushchenko@gmail.com DOI 10.29121/IJOEST.v5.i6.2021.250 Funding:
This
research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public,
commercial, or not-for-profit sectors. Copyright:
© 2021
The Author(s). This is an open access article distributed under the terms of
the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution,
and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are
credited. |
ABSTRACT |
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The
subject of the article is the development of ecosystems, science and
education during the development of the ninth technological order (NTO); the
object of the article is the national innovation system; the purpose of the
work is to improve the efficiency of management of the development of NTO; to
achieve this goal, the following tasks are solved: a methodology for the
system analysis of the transport sector and the ecosystem of the Sulfur Sea
Route in NTO is formed; an analysis of the risks of the development of NTO
and ecosystems is carried out; the role of science and education in the
process of creating ecosystems and the development of NTO is investigated;
the necessity of advanced development, the main trends in the development of
science and education during the NTO period are substantiated; mental
conflicts during the NTO period are studied; the scientific methods of the
article are system engineering; the theory of scientific and technical
forecasting, the theory of hierarchical systems, historical, system analysis,
synthesis, heuristic methods, logic, expert methods, conflictology;
the theory of efficiency; the scientific novelty of the work is determined by
the development of NTO system engineering methods, the formation of an
ecosystem approach to the modernization of the Northern Sea Route based on
NTO scientific achievements. |
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Keywords: Science, Education, Ecosystem, Ninth Technological Order (ETO).
Transport, System Analysis, Conflict, Northern Sea Route (NSR), Program,
Efficiency, Modernization, System 1. INTRODUCTION The relevance of this
article is related to the need to study the role of science and education in
the development and modernization of the international transport corridor
"Northern Sea Route" in the process of forming the ninth
technological order (NTO). The advanced development of science and education
is the methodological basis for the synthesis of the image of the future NTO.
A special case of the future appearance of NTO is the development of
ecosystems. It is proposed to develop ecosystems of international transport
corridors: the Northern Sea Route (NSR); the Baikal-Amur Mainline, the Great
Silk Road and others. The synthesis of the
appearance of the future ecosystems should be carried out within the
framework of a systematic approach by the method of forecasting. The image of the future of the NSR ecosystem means: the
structure of the NSR; the main performance indicators of the NSR in the |
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period of the new technological order. Such a
synthesis of the appearance of the future NSR is carried out on the basis of a
system analysis of the essence of NTO. Creating such an image of the future of NTO,
NTO ecosystems will help determine development goals. This will make it
possible to make more informed investment and management decisions in the
process of forming the NTO, NSR development program for the period up to 2040.
The
hypothesis of the article is the statement that the advanced development of
science and education will increase the efficiency of investments in the
development of NTO, NSR and, at the same time, reduce the risks of the
development of NTO, and other NTO projects, in particular NSR.
The
purpose of the work is to increase the efficiency of NTO development
management.
To
achieve this goal, the following tasks are solved:
·
the
methodology of the system analysis of the transport sphere and the ecosystem of
the NSR in NTO is being formed;
·
an
analysis of the risks of the development of NTO and ecosystems is carried out;
·
the
role of science and education in the creation of ecosystems and the development
of NTO is being investigated;
·
substantiates
the need for advanced development, the main trends in the development of
science and education during the NTO period;
·
mental
conflicts during the development of NTO are studied.
The
object of the article is the national innovation system.
The
subject of the article is the development of ecosystems, science and education
during the development of the ninth technological order (NTO).
The
analysis of scientific articles on the topic of this work shows that the study
of technological orders (structures) is an important international topic of
scientific research Arrighi (1994),
Aivazov (2012), Glazyev (2016). System analysis is considered as an effective
tool in the activities of firms Shakhbanov and Azizova (2019). The method of system analysis is
actively used to build a model and to study the features of a new technological
order Glushchenko
(2021). The analysis shows the existence
of mutual influence of modernization and transport Macheret (2021). Foreign scientists study the
problems of managing the behavior of transport companies Protsenko
(2020). In the course of historical
development, the modernization of transport is considered as a factor and a
tool to accelerate the modernization of the whole country Vasiliev and Mazaev (2020). It is believed that the lack of
timely modernization of transport systems can lead to a socio-economic crisis Gnatyuk (2015). Scientists are developing problems
of modernization of certain types of transport Gerasimenko
(2020). Important tasks are considered to
be the study of such areas of transport modernization: problems of legislative
regulation of modernization of water transport Semenov
et al. (2021); problems of modernization of
certain types of transport equipment Vladimirov
(2016). For the modernization of various
transport systems, the scientific theory of transport systems can be used Glushchenko
(2019). In the process of modernization of
transport systems, the scientific theory of technological orders plays an
important role Glushchenko
(2021). In the process of forming a new
technological order, new conceptual approaches to the synthesis of man-made
objects will be important: the ecosystem approach Borovik and Doroshenko (2020); convergent (nature-like)
technologies Kovalchuk
(2021). The most general methodology for designing
transport systems and transport corridors can be the theory of multilevel
hierarchical systems Mesarovich et
al. (1973). Strategic planning of the
transition of firms to a new technological order remains an important tool for
ensuring the competitiveness of firms Glushchenko
(2021). The development of neurotechnologies in management remains an important
structural element of the new technological order Glushchenko
(2017). At the same time, new
institutional relations should also develop in the economy Glushchenko
(2021). The development of a new
technological order is accompanied by discussions and conflicts Kolchinsky et
al. (2018). The expansion of the scale of
scientific and innovative activities should be accompanied by their
customization Glushchenko
(2021). It is predicted that the project
approach in science and education will receive its further development Glushchenko (2021). The research of scientific
articles on the topic of this work carried out in this article confirms its
relevance.
2. Method
System
engineering can be considered as a methodological basis for: shaping the image
of the future; macro-designing the modernization of the Northern Sea Route.
This kind of engineering is a practical direction of system integration
(aggregation) of a number of scientific disciplines: theory of technological
structures; financial management; theory of hierarchical systems; theory of
transport systems; economic theory; conflictology;
theories of management and marketing and others. System engineering can be
applied in solving the problems of practical implementation of the
modernization of the NSR based on technologies of the 9th technological order
(NTO).
The
ecosystem of the NSR will be called an integrated transport system that meets
the following requirements: ensuring the transit passage of international
passenger and cargo flows; meeting the transport needs of adjacent regions;
rational use of existing assets; minimizing environmental damage in the process
of functioning; maximally satisfying the needs of stakeholders, taking into
account the possible inconsistency of these requirements, and more. At the same
time, the international transport corridor should be integrated with the system
of interregional communications of the adjacent regions of the country.
The
concept of an ecosystem approach to the modernization of the NSR will be called
a systematic view of the modernization of the NSR and its results. The image of
the future of the NSR can be called: the structure of the NSR; the main
characteristics of the activities of the NSR after its planned modernization.
The
image of the future NSR may consist of a description of its structural
elements: the flow of international goods; the flow of goods between regions of
one country; characteristics of environmental pollution; factors influencing
the socio-economic development of adjacent regions (economic growth rates, the zamount of payments to the budget of the region, the number
of jobs in the region, etc.). The flows of passengers and cargo (transit and between
regions) can be described by the following indicators: the volume of traffic,
the probability of passenger injury, the average speed of cargo movement,
reliability, the probability of cargo loss, etc.
In the
process of preparing the SMP modernization project, it is proposed to compile
two lists (internal and external) of interested persons.
During
the process of designing the ecosystem of the Northern Sea Route transport
corridor, it is proposed to compile a general list of requirements for this ecosystem
from its stakeholders. To do this, it is necessary to conduct a survey of all
stakeholders: government agencies; cargo owners, representatives of the navy,
consignees, government agencies, municipal authorities, transport companies,
residents of regions and others. Such a survey is conducted in the interests of
forming a set of requirements for such an ecosystem. After conducting such a
survey, the results obtained should be processed and analyzed. During such
processing of the survey results, all matching requirements for the ecosystem
of different stakeholders should be highlighted in the first list. The
requirements from this first list should be implemented in full. The second
list is proposed to include alternative (mutually exclusive) requirements of
different stakeholders. Such conflicting ecosystem requirements from this
second list should be studied in order to ensure that a reasonable compromise
is reached between such conflicting requirements.
Modernization
of ecosystems of international transport corridors (NSR, BAM, the Great Silk
Road, etc.) should correspond to the general direction of scientific and
technological progress in the transport industry.
An
analysis of the development of transport has shown that the first technological
order (way) can be called the technological order, which is associated with the
invention of the sail. On this basis, the numbering of technological orders can
be changed. As part of the new numbering, the new technological order gets No.
9 (the ninth technological order (way)).
Presumably,
the invention of the sail can be attributed to the category of the first prorid-like (convergent) technologies.
To
assess the trends in the development of the transport industry, we will conduct
a systematic analysis of this development, the results of which are reflected
in Table 1. Such an analysis is of a
demonstration and indicative nature, and therefore requires clarification from
experts in the field of transport history.
Table 1 System analysis of the development of the transport industry in the
course of scientific and technological progress |
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№ п/п |
Properties
of technological structures on transport /Number technological order, time
period, name |
Nature
and properties of transport systems |
New modes of transport |
Mission,
methodology of development of transport systems |
1 |
1st technological order, 5500 BC - 2000 BC., the invention of the sail |
irregular transport links |
the invention of the sail |
common sense, solving military and economic problems |
2 |
2st technological
order, 2000 BC. – IX century AD; Horse-drawn traction |
Local, irregular
transport links |
Horse-drawn
transport, rowing fleet |
Common sense,
profitable trading |
3 |
3nd technological order, IX century - 1770;
Water, wind (windmill), mill |
Maritime trade, intercontinental expeditions |
Development of the sailing fleet |
Trade, development of new lands |
4 |
4rd technological
order, 1770-1830; Textile machines |
Intercontinental water
transport corridors |
Development of the
sailing fleet |
Colonization of
territories, creation of empires |
5 |
5th technological order, 1830-1880; Steam engine |
Creation of railway transport networks |
Steam water and rail transport |
Regular transport links along the routes |
6 |
6th technological order, 1880-1930; Internal
Combustion Engine, Electric motor, |
Creation of an aviation and automobile transport network |
Air fleet, airplanes, balloons, road transport |
Economic analysis of transport operations, competition of modes of
transport |
7 |
7th technological order, 1930-1970; nuclear reactor, computers, |
Globalization of transport networks and modes of transport |
Nuclear Icebreaker and submarine Fleet |
construction of airfields, highways, a systematic approach, |
8 |
8-my technological order (way), 1970-2010; microelectronics |
Formation of global and national transport systems |
high-speed rail transport, radio-electronic navigation and communication
systems |
Development of transport logistics, |
9 |
9th technological order, 2010-2040;
Neurotechnology, nanotechnology, IT technologies, resource-saving
technologies, etc. |
Integrated transport service systems for customer needs, improving the
quality of transport services |
Hybrid and unmanned vehicles, improving the comfort and safety of
transport systems |
Theory of transport systems, ecosystem approach and convergent
technologies in the field of transport |
Source: developed by the author |
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In 2021, the methods of generating innovative ideas
for the implementation of transport system modernization projects can be:
ecosystem approach; theory of transport systems; method of "morphological
analysis (box)"; method of analogy; convergent technologies; collective generation of ideas;
brainstorming and more.
The
conceptual approach to the search for ideas for the modernization of the NSR
may consist in the fact that the idea of the NSR modernization project can be:
synthesized by the method "from a general concept to a private engineering
solution" (deductive method); induction method (from private to general);
based on a certain philosophical concept of the development of transport
technology (for example, the concept of eco-friendly or unmanned transport);
based on the concept of the development of the 9th technological order in the
economy and society; based on the goal of achieving greater comfort and safety
for society, the individual.
The
principles of modernization of international transport corridors in the NTO can
be considered the principles of: provision of integrated transport services;
simultaneous or sequential use of a number of modes of transport (merchant
marine; icebreaker fleet; air transport, etc.); efficient use of vehicles;
meeting the needs of stakeholders (cargo owners, the state, regions, local
communities, etc.); minimizing environmental damage; improving the comfort and
safety of life of the local community; centralized logistics service of transport
flows, etc.
During
the formation of the strategic plan for the modernization of the Northern Sea
Route (NSR), it can be studied simultaneously as:
1)
international
and inland sea transport corridor within the framework of the general theory of
transport systems;
2)
a
system-forming element in the ecosystem of the Far North of Russia, uniting a
number of its regions (creation of a man-made superecosystem).
Presumably,
as a result of such scientific work and modernization based on technologies of
a new technological order, the overall socio-economic efficiency of all
subjects of the Far North of Russia, including the NSR, can be increased, which
can give a synergetic effect.
Indicators
of the effectiveness of the strategic plan for the modernization of the NSR can
be called:
·
increasing
the level of versatility of the Northern Sea Route (passenger and cargo
international transportation; regional transportation; tourism; northern
delivery; export of products of the regional economy; increasing the pace of
socio-economic development, etc.);
·
increasing
the level of safety and reliability of the functioning of the Northern Sea
Route as an international and interregional transport corridor;
·
ensuring
an increase in the level of connectivity of Russia's regions, which will
increase its geopolitical stability;
·
increasing
the loyalty of the local population as a result of increasing the level of
safety and comfort of living conditions of the small peoples of the North while
preserving their traditional ecosystems and lifestyle;
·
minimization
of disproportions in socio-economic development and living standards of the
population of various regions of Russia;
·
increasing
the level of security of our country and ensuring increased state control over fauna,
flora, minerals in these territories and more.
At the
same time, the development of an ecosystem approach, new technologies and their
use creates new technological opportunities for the development of the
ecosystem of the Northern Sea Route (NSR) Borovik and Doroshenko (2020),
Kovalchuk (2021).
To
increase the level of validity of the strategic plan for the modernization of a
technogenic facility, a SWOT analysis can be carried out. Such an analysis will
reveal: threats and opportunities of the external environment; strengths and
weaknesses of the modernization object.
At the
same time, the strategic plan (or program) for the modernization of the
facility may include the following groups of activities:
·
measures
aimed at adapting the modernization object (NSR, region, enterprise) to the
threats of the external environment;
·
measures
aimed at using the modernization object of the opportunities that open up in
the 9th technological order;
·
measures
(projects) to modernize the products of the modernization facility (NSR,
region) of the enterprise through the use of technologies of the 9th
technological order (NTO);
·
measures
to modernize the production facilities of the modernization facility through
the use of technologies of the 9th technological order.
As
measures aimed at adapting the object of modernization to the threats of the
external environment, we can name: branding and rebranding of the enterprise;
updating the company's product basket; increasing the level of customer
orientation of the company; introduction of lean production methodology;
introduction of participatory management; development of the organizational
culture of the company as a factor of ensuring competitiveness; management of
social development of personnel, etc.
Activities
aimed at using the environmental capabilities of the object of modernization
can cover: the use of an ecosystem approach; the creation of nature-like
(convergent) technologies; the application of the theory of technological
patterns; ensuring multiple use (animation) of achievements of the 9th
technological order (neurotechnology, nanotechnology, information technology,
resource-saving technologies, etc.); the use of post-industrial marketing
methods; morphological analysis; collective generation of ideas and more.
Currently,
the methodologies of the ecosystem approach and convergent technologies in
transport have not yet been developed. This creates certain risks when
implementing ecosystem projects.
Even
less is known about the proposal to develop nature-like (convergent)
technologies. In his speeches, the author of this proposal emphasizes such
features (criteria) for classifying technology as nature-like (convergent)
technologies:
1)
the
presence of a certain analogy or similarity between artificially created
technology and natural natural processes;
2)
the
focus of the technology on reducing the waste of the production process;
3)
the
possibility of recycling the waste of the production process by natural methods
for nature;
4)
reducing
the cost of public labor to achieve a certain result of the production process?
The
analysis shows that the technology of transporting people and cargo on a
sailing vessel can fit this set of criteria?
In
order to further clarify the similarities and distinctive features of a number
of conceptual approaches in the development of new technologies, this paper
proposes to conduct a comparative analysis of various conceptual approaches. It
is possible to conduct a comparative analysis of marketing, ecosystem and
nature-like (convergent) approaches, the concept of technological orders in the
innovation sphere. Such a comparative analysis is reflected in Table 2.
Table 2 Comparative analysis of methodologies: concepts of efficiency of technological
orders, marketing, ecosystem approach and convergent technologies |
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№ п/п |
Innovative project
development concepts /Titles properties of the concept |
Theory of Marketing |
Theory of economic
efficiency of technological orders |
The concept of an
ecosystem approach |
The concept of
convergent (nature-like) technologies |
1 |
The satisfied need of society |
Individual needs, market segment needs |
Society's need for sustainable scientific and technological progress |
Improving the comfort of the lifestyle of a certain social group |
Minimizing resource consumption and damage to nature |
2 |
The basis of the
methodology |
marketing theory |
Philosophy and
methodology of science |
Analysis of the
lifestyle of social groups |
Stochastic,
simulation modeling of natural processes |
3 |
Development product (product or service) |
Individual product or service |
Scientific support for the development of NTO (service) |
Complex product (goods and services) for one social group |
The product is related to resource conservation and the ecology of
society |
4 |
Planning horizon |
product life cycle |
the year 2040 |
Strategic, market
segment |
Long-term, global |
5 |
The object of implementation of the innovation project |
The company's grocery basket |
Technological order as a new stage in the development of human
civilization |
Creation of a comprehensive service system for the market segment |
The system of nature conservation and ensuring the environmental
interests of society as a whole |
6 |
Attitude to
competition |
Competition for a
specific client, market segment share |
It is out of
competition due to a qualitative leap in technological development |
The goal is to
avoid competition by creating pioneer integrated products |
Competition at the
level of philosophy, national idea, lifestyle and culture of the nation |
7 |
Key factors of developer competition |
Competence of the company's personnel |
Mentality and organizational culture of development institutions of the
NTO |
competence and organizational culture of the company's personnel |
Organizational culture of the entire national innovation system |
8 |
The impact of the
concept on the market |
Impact on the
market segment |
Qualitative impact
on all markets |
The impact of the
product on the market segment |
The impact of the
technological system on the human environment |
9 |
Criteria for evaluating the effectiveness of an innovative project |
The company's current profit |
Improving the level of safety and comfort of life of the population |
The cost of the company |
The degree of similarity of the technological process to natural
processes |
Source: developed
by the author ped by the author |
Note: As part of the transition to NTO,
there is also the idea of creating metaverses. This idea of metaverses was
announced by Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg in October 2021. At the same
time, M. Zuckerberg conducted a deep rebranding of his global information
system in the fall of 2021. Facebook has been renamed META. However, the
essence and content of such a metaverse proposed by Zuckerberg M. have not yet
been described.
The
paradigm of economic efficiency of the NTO assumes that during this
technological order, the costs of developing new technologies should be
recouped by an additional increase in the gross domestic product of the
country. These additional revenues should be obtained through the introduction
of these technologies in a certain time frame. Such a paradigm assumes
purposeful maximization of the number of new technologies introduced into new
NTO products and existing products of previous technological structures.
The
functioning of NSR stakeholders is not only sectoral, but also regional in nature.
Therefore, it is necessary to synthesize a methodology for the formation of
strategic plans or programs for the modernization of the country's regions
adjacent to the NSR Glushchenko
(2021).
The
methodology of forming a strategic plan for the modernization of the country's
regions in the 9th technological order may include such actions.
1)
Study
of the structure and analysis of the characteristics of the structural elements
of the technological basis of a certain region of the country (object of
modernization).
2)
Assessment
of the share of technologies of each of the technological structures as part of
the characteristics of the socio-economic development of the region (volume of
production; contribution to the budget, number of employees, etc.).
3)
Conducting
a SWOT analysis (threats and opportunities of the external environment;
strengths and weaknesses of the country's region).
4)
Development
of a plan of long-term measures aimed at adapting the region to changing
external conditions.
5)
Formation
of a list of measures aimed at coordinating the internal environment of the
region.
6)
Study
of the availability of conditions for the formation of new technological
platforms and clusters.
7)
Revision
of the technological basis of enterprises and the study of the possibilities of
introducing new technologies (for each type of technology) of the 9th
technological order at already existing firms (enterprises) in the region.
8)
Analysis
and assessment of social and economic effects when implementing each of the
types of technologies of the 9th technological order (NTO) at existing
enterprises in the region.
9)
Identification
of priorities for the introduction of specific types of new technologies of the
9th technological order. Criteria for setting priorities can be: availability
of conditions for the introduction of technology; minimum payback period;
shortest time for the introduction of technology; maximum economic efficiency
(NPV, PI) of the technology implementation project; the possibility of multiple
implementations of one technology on the largest number of firms (enterprises)
or other.
10)
Analysis
of conditions for multiple and / or integrated implementation of one technology
and / or devices of the 9th technological order in the organizations of the
region and others.
As an
example of a fragment of the implementation of the described strategic planning
methodology, we will analyze the possibility of practical use of NTO
technologies in family nomadic livestock farms in the regions of the Far North
of Russia. It is important that permafrost areas in Russia make up 2/3 of its
area. About 30% of the world's reserves of all minerals are located on the
permafrost territory. At the same time, the studied nomadic livestock farms are
of a family nature. The studied livestock farms roam the tundra together with
their herds of deer. Such families of reindeer herders live in makeshift yurts.
A yurt is a kind of tent that is covered with deer skins. Such animal breeders
move on reindeer sleds (a kind of horse-drawn traction). This type of reindeer
sled can be attributed to the second technological order. The second
technological mode is called "horse-drawn traction". We are
investigating the possibility of introducing NTO technologies into the
ecosystem of the vital activity of such nomadic households of the peoples of
the Far North of Russia (or other desert regions of the world).
1)
Nanotechnology
can be practically used for the following purposes: increasing the wear
resistance and strength of the frame of the yurt, increasing the strength, wear
resistance and thermal insulation properties of the materials of the outer
covering of the yurt (skin substitute), etc.
2)
Nanotechnologies
and biotechnologies can be used in the production of medicines, for example,
drugs used to increase immunity (livestock breeders, deer), in particular, we
can talk about medical drugs such as "Kagocel"?
3)
Neurotechnologies can be used to measure the
characteristics of the physical condition of people (reindeer herders) and/or
their animals (deer). Such a practical application of neurotechnologies
can help prevent: overstrain of people and their deer, which will reduce the likelihood
of human diseases and the risks of livestock deaths, and more.
4)
Radar
beacons and other types of information devices and technologies can be used in
practice to accurately determine the location of a reindeer herders' camp
and/or a separate reindeer team. Such information will help if there is a need
for prompt assistance to residents of the Far North in emergency situations.
Such prompt assistance can reduce the risk of death of people and animals in
difficult weather conditions and more. For example, using such information, it
is possible to drop medicines, food and other things from a helicopter. In
addition, the availability of such information will increase the degree of
state control of the territories of the Far North.
To
modernize reindeer herders' homes (yurts), reindeer sleds can be used as part
of the conversion, for example, aviation materials and technologies. In
particular, existing technologies for the production of composite materials
from the field of aviation materials and others can be used.
It may
be proposed to create mini-factories for processing deer meat and/or processing
deer skins, etc. These products can be exported (entered into economic
circulation) and used in the operation of the NSR. For example, meat and canned
food can be used to feed the crews and passengers of ships and others.
The
proposed targeted modernization of the ecosystem of the way of life of the
peoples of the Far North of Russia through the integrated introduction of
technologies of the 9th technological way will help: reduce the risks to human
life and health; increase the life expectancy of the local population (reindeer
herders); create conditions for increasing the herd of animals; create more
comfortable and safe living conditions for the local population.
Programs
for the modernization of the ecosystem of the vital activity of small nomadic
peoples of the North, programs for the practical use of technologies of the 9th
technological order could be international. An increase in the scale of implementation
of such programs can reduce the cost of sets of implemented technical means of
a new technological order. This kind of effect of reducing the cost of
equipment due to an increase in its production in the economy is known. This
effect is referred to as the "experience curve" or "production
scale effect". This law of economics sounds like this: every time the
volume of production increases by two, the cost of production decreases by 20%.
3. Discussion
The
materials of this article show that in 2021, as part of the formation of a new
9th technological order, they are actively looking for new concepts and forms
of doing business, developing new technologies. At the same time, science does
not have time to respond to the requests of practice. Science does not perform
the function of advanced scientific research. This state of affairs creates
risks for the investment activities of the state and private companies. At the
same time, companies cannot wait, they must implement their modernization
programs in the interests of maintaining their own competitiveness. In
particular, such a lag in scientific research from the needs of practice is
observed in the field of ecosystems, nature-like technologies, metasystem
development plans.
To
increase the level of scientific support for development processes, we can
recommend:
·
to
increase the effectiveness of measures for the integration of
science-practice-education?
·
to
form new methods for the integration of science and practice Glushchenko
(2019)?
·
to
increase the level of involvement of scientific and pedagogical workers in the
process of modernization of the national economy;
·
increase
the number of new venture investment institutions in innovative projects Glushchenko (2021)?
·
improve
institutional relations between companies and the scientific community;
·
Take
measures to reduce the number and intensity of conflicts in the NTO Kolchinsky and
T.D. (2018) and others.
To
solve these problems of scientific support for the development of NTO, this
article proposes to develop a special program to improve the effectiveness of
the integration of science-education and practice.
The
study of the NSR as a system-forming link of the ecosystem of the Far North of
Russia poses fundamentally new scientific and practical tasks for the
developers of the image of the future and the modernization project of this
international and, at the same time, internal transport corridor. Modernization
of the NSR and the entire ecosystem of the regions of the Far North of Russia
will help reduce the risks and the problem of so-called northern imports.
Northern delivery is a transport operation carried out in summer to deliver in
summer all the goods necessary for winter to these regions.
At the
same time, in 2021, the theory and practice of system engineering and the
ecosystem approach in the world and Russia are not yet sufficiently developed.
Therefore, it can be recommended to create departments in transport
universities: theory of transport systems; system design of transport
complexes, system engineering of transport.
The
creation of such departments will contribute to: accelerating the processes of
developing the concept of creating ecosystems, metasystems in the economy;
modernization of the NSR and other transport corridors within the framework of
the ecosystem approach. In the process of developing a methodology for system
design in transport, the result of the work can be useful Borovik and Doroshenko (2020), Kovalchuk
(2021), Glushchenko et
al. (2017).
One of
the directions of ecosystem development in transport during the NTO period may
be the development of neurotechnologies.
It can
be recommended to create departments of neurotechnology in transport
universities.
At the
same time, it should be borne in mind that in the field of higher education
during the NTO period there will be a tendency to switch to higher project
education Glushchenko
(2021). In general, the trend of
transition from subject and competence-based education to a system-activity
approach in higher education will continue. In additional professional
education, the trend of education development will continue, aimed at changing
the mentality and thought process of students. Gradually, this trend will
spread to university education. It should be borne in mind that in order to
spread competence-based higher education and a system-activity approach, it is
necessary to expand the scope of training of teaching staff.
The
analysis shows that in order to competently conduct classes within the
framework of project higher education, a professor must have knowledge in
several specialties simultaneously: technical sciences; economics; finance;
management; marketing; investment; design, pricing, commerce, insurance,
entrepreneurship and others. Such a complex amount of knowledge is now
possessed by a smaller part of modern teachers. This may slow down the
introduction of higher project education into the practice of
universities.
With
the development of neurotechnological education and mechanical engineering
during the NTO period, it should be borne in mind that, presumably, a
significant amount of scientific knowledge and practical developments can be
accumulated in the field of neurotechnology in the field of aviation. Is it
possible to extend this reserve to all transport engineering? The methodology
of modernization of the vehicles themselves is described in works Macheret (2021), Glushchenko
(2021), Glushchenko
(2021). The methodology of modernization
of mechanical engineering products has been tested by the author of this
article in educational projects and shows good practical results. It can be
expected that the development of the NSR ecosystem will be accompanied by the
formation of new social and professional institutions Glushchenko
(2021). At the same time, the development
of a strategy and program for the modernization of the NSR as an ecosystem of a
number of regions adjacent to the NSR may generate socio-economic
transformations and mental conflicts of stakeholders in these processes Glushchenko
(2021). The following factors can
contribute to the emergence of conflict situations during the modernization of
the ecosystem of the NSR: competition of scientific ideas and concepts;
competition of modes of transport within the NSR; competition of the regions of
the country; solving the problem of alternative investments and other factors.
There are risks of conflicts between scientific ideas Kolchinsky et
al. (2018). The methodological results of this
article can be useful in the modernization of transport ecosystems of various
hierarchical levels (global, national, regional, municipal) and various types
of international, national, interregional transport corridors during the NTO
period.
4. Conclusion
The article forms a methodology for the modernization of transport ecosystems, discusses conceptual approaches that can be implemented in the process of modernization of the Northern Sea Route (NSR) as an ecosystem based on the achievements of science and technology of the ninth technological order. The article presents a historical, systematic analysis of the development of 9 technological orders of development of modes of transport in the process of progress of human civilization. The paper presents a comparative analysis of approaches to the modernization of the NSR: the concept of the effectiveness of technological structures; marketing approach; ecosystem and convergent (nature-like) approaches. A methodology was proposed for drawing up strategic plans for the modernization of regions adjacent to the NSR and others. The article discusses the problems of increasing the efficiency of scientific support for the processes of formation of the ninth technological order. The paper examines the directions of development and market integration of science, practice and education in the period of the ninth technological order. The results of this article will be useful in creating an image of the future ecosystem of the NSR and other international transport corridors. The results of this article can be useful in the modernization of other types of man-made ecosystems, transport ecosystems and international transport corridors (Baikal-Amur Mainline, the Great Silk Road and others).
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