Creating a model of the future of the eighth technological orderValery Vladimirovich Glushchenko 1 1 Moscow Polytechnic University, Professor of the Project Activity Center, Moscow, Russia. |
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Received 01 August 2021 Accepted 15 August 2021 Published 31 August 2021 Corresponding Author Valery
Vladimirovich Glushchenko, valery.v.glushchenko@gmail.com DOI 10.29121/IJOEST.v5.i5.2021.217 Funding:
This
research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public,
commercial, or not-for-profit sectors. Copyright:
© 2021
The Author(s). This is an open access article distributed under the terms of
the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution,
and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are
credited. |
ABSTRACT |
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The
subject of the article is a model of the future of the eighth technological
order; the object of the article is the eighth technological order; the
purpose of the work is to increase the efficiency of the processes of the
state's entry into the eighth technological order; to achieve this goal, the
following tasks are solved: the geopolitical and socio-economic roles and the
results of the state's transition to the eighth technological order are
described; a systematic analysis of technological orders is carried out; the
image of the future eighth technological order is formed; the tasks of the
state's entry policy into the eighth technological order are developed; the
indicators of evaluating the effectiveness of the state's entry policy into
the eighth technological order are described; the scientific methods of this
article are: modeling, historical, system, comparative and logical analysis;
heuristic synthesis, political science, system approach, heuristic design,
expert methods, efficiency theory; The scientific novelty of the work is
determined by the synthesis of the image of the future, the paradigm and
policy of the state's transition to the eighth technological order, the
formation of a system of indicators of the effectiveness of the state's entry
into the eighth technological order. |
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Keywords: Modeling, State, Technological Order, Table, Policy, Analysis, System
Approach, Indicator, Structure 1. INTRODUCTION The relevance of this
work is determined by the need to improve the effectiveness of the policy of
entering states into the eighth technological order in the world economy. The
task of entering the eighth technological order is also faced by other types
of organizations: regions; corporations, technology platforms; clusters and
firms. The process of entry of all types of organizations (the state,
corporations and others) is influenced by the global systemic crisis. This
crisis is closely connected with the process of forming a new technological
order The entry of all types of
organizations into the eighth technological order can be called the most
important problem of the world economy and society for the period up to 2040.
The subjects of the
process of transition to the eighth technological order are: global
governance bodies (the World Monetary Fund, the World Bank, etc.); national
governments; political parties; managers of corporations and firms, etc. |
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The hypothesis
of the article is the statement that the development of the paradigm and policy
of the organization's entry into the eighth technological order will ensure an
increase in the efficiency of the processes of formation of the eighth
technological order in the world economy and society.
The
purpose of the work is to increase the efficiency of the processes of the
state's entry into the eighth technological order.
To
achieve this goal, the following tasks are solved:
·
the
geopolitical and socio-economic roles and the results of the state's transition
to the eighth technological order are described;
·
a
systematic analysis of technological ways is carried out;
·
the
image of the future eighth technological way is formed;
·
the
tasks of the state's entry policy into the eighth technological order are
developed;
·
the
indicators of evaluating the effectiveness of the state's entry policy into the
eighth technological order are described.
The object of the article is the eighth technological order/
Тhe subject of the article is a model of the future of the eighth technological order.
To
improve the efficiency of system development management processes, models are
used [Pobol (2017), pp. 39-45; Komkov (2016), pp. 66-77]. Researchers note the
great importance of industrial policy in the process of modernization of Russia
[Bobrova and Bobrov (2015), pp. 307-317].
The
development of clusters has led to the fact that experts recognize cluster
policy as a new direction of economic policy [Vertakova
(2015), pp. 11-14]. Regional innovation
policy is practically used in France [Pavlova
(2016), pp. 353-358]. An important part of
the policy is the coordination of the interests of the parties [Feldman
(2016), pp. 272-278]. Innovation policy is
used to justify the strategy of corporations and firms [Glushchenko
(2009), p.2]. Politics is increasingly
being used as a management tool. Therefore, the specialists create a
methodology of system and management approaches in political science [Glushchenko
(2008) p.30-63]. Scientists describe the
process of capitalist development as a sequence of six technological order [Aivazov
(2012); Glazyev (2016), pp. 3-29]. Experts develop
forecasts of the structure of a new technological order [Zagidullina
et al. (2015), pp. 182-189]. Specialists are
developing a methodology for strategic planning of the transition of
organizations to a new technological order (way) [Orusova
and Eliseeva (2015), pp. 82-89; Glushchenko (2021), p. 30-38]. However, this approach
does not take into account the existence of a pre-capitalist period of
technological development of the economy and society.
The
methodological basis of such strategic planning is the theory of technological
orders (structures) [Glushchenko (2021), p. 65-82; Glushchenko (2020), p. 12-20].
System
analysis can be used to study technological orders [Gluchshenko
(2021), pp. 22-34.]. The analysis shows
that the technological order is a large multi-level system. The theory of
multilevel (hierarchical) systems was proposed for the study and analysis of
large systems [Mesarovich et al. (1973), p. 12-17]. Experts believe that
the development of a new technological order affects the geopolitical power of
the state. Zbigniew Brzezinski expressed this opinion: "America's economic
dynamism is a necessary prerequisite for ensuring a dominant role in the
world" [Brzezinski (2003), p.34]. The process of forming a
new technological order can affect the geopolitical status and geopolitical
status and risks of many states. For this reason, experts study the impact of
geopolitical risk on the development and economic efficiency of innovative
projects in the country [Glushchenko (1999), p. 46; Glushchenko (2006), p.200].
2. Method
The
model of the eighth technological order is usually called a simplified
representation of this order. This simplified representation is created
specifically for solving the problems of design and analysis of the eighth
technological order.
The
paradigm of the entry of an organization (state, region, corporations,
clusters, technological platforms, etc.) into the eighth technological order
will be called the systematic unification of such elements of activity: the
philosophy of activity; the ideology of activity; the policy of the
organization. The concept of "paradigm" can be considered quite close
to the concepts of "concept", "model", "method".
The
concept can be interpreted as a systematic view of the process and results of
the formation of this technological order in society and the economy. At the
same time, the paradigm harmoniously includes such parts as: philosophy;
ideology; organizational culture; politics; strategy and tactics of such a
transition to a new technological order.
The
philosophy of the organization's entry into the eighth technological order will
be called the most general, wise view of this process and its results. There
may be a philosophy of self-development of a new technological order. Such a
philosophy implies the spontaneous self-development of a new technological
order. This philosophy excludes the management of this process.
Another
variant of this philosophy should be recognized as the philosophy of purposeful
influence of the heads of organizations on the process of entering these
organizations into the eighth technological order. The practical significance
of the philosophy of the organization's entry into the new technological way is
to substantiate the principles of the policy of managing the process of
organizations ' entry into the eighth technological way.
The
following provisions can be called the principles of the entry of organizations
into the eighth technological order:
·
the
principle of focusing on achieving greater comfort and safety for the
population;
·
the
principle of scientific justification in managing the process of entering an
organization into a new technological order;
·
the
principle of rational use of the available resources of society and the
economy;
·
the
principle of minimizing conflicts in the process of forming a new technological
order;
·
the
principle of minimizing losses in the process of transition to a new
technological order.;
·
the
principle of managing the efficiency and risks of this process and others.
These principles
can become the values of the organizational culture of the management system of
the organization's entry into a new technological order.
Let's
agree to call the organizational culture of the organization's entry into a new
technological way: norms of behavior; beliefs; values of the organization; ways
of responding to the problems of the organization's personnel in this process.
The
ideology of the entry of organizations into the eighth technological order can
be called: firstly, the way of distributing managerial power in this process;
secondly, the key idea of forming a new technological order (improving the
safety and comfort of people's lives).
The
policy of entering organizations (state, region, corporations, clusters,
technology platforms, etc.) into the eighth technological order in this article
will be understood as a set of measures. Such a policy includes a set of
measures aimed at: modernization of the production capacities of organizations;
modernization of the products of these organizations; improvement of the
organization's management systems; design of new types of technologies
(nanotechnologies, neurotechnologies, digitalization technologies, information
technologies, resource-saving technologies, environmentally friendly technologies);
the introduction of these new technologies into the products of previous
technological orders; the development of new economic and social production
institutions; [Glushchenko (2021)], etc. The activities included in
such a policy should be harmonious and coordinated with each other.
The
policy of entering the economy and society into the eighth technological order
includes strategy and tactics. The strategy is responsible for the long-term
perspective of the entry of organizations into a new technological order [Glushchenko,
V. V. (2021)]. Tactics ensures the current
implementation of strategic plans, taking into account the need to fulfill such
requirements: the sustainable development of this process of entering a new
technological order; ensuring the solvency of the organization and others.
The
subjects of the paradigm formation should understand that the "technological
order (way)" is a complex multi-level (hierarchical) system. Therefore,
the main research methods should be: the theory of hierarchical systems [Mesarovich
et al. (1973), p.12-17]; system approach; system
analysis; search heuristic forecasting and others. The subjects of the paradigm
development should take into account that the authors of the theory of large
systems consider: 1. "First of all, the very concept of system complexity
depends on the point of view. What seems to a psychologist to be a complex or
large system may turn out to be just an elementary link in the eyes of an
economist"; 2. "We can even say that the importance and wide
prevalence of multi-level systems are not yet well understood" [Mesarovich
et al. (1973), p.12-17].
This
opinion of the authors of the theory of large systems is confirmed by the
practice of studying the problems of the formation of technological orders by
economists. Representatives of economic science (economists) they consider the
technological structure as a purely economic system [Glazyev
(2016)]. With this approach, economists
suggest that the technological structure means a system of key global
institutions. At the same time, economists believe that the subject of the
development of the technological structure is the process of expanded
reproduction of capital [Glazyev (2016)]. With this approach, there is no
place for the production technologies themselves in the technological order.
It is
more logical to assume that the structure of the technological order (as a
large system) includes: firstly, the technological basis of the organization;
secondly, the system of industrial and social relations( institutions);
thirdly, methods of personnel management and its organization; fourth, forms of
doing business; fifth, the world order and more. At the same time, the
technological basis of the organization is primary. For this reason, all
economic and humanistic elements should correspond to the specifics of the
technological basis of organizations.
The
paradigm (philosophy, ideology, policy) of the entry of organizations into a
new technological order should be based on the methodology of the system
approach. The systematic approach consists in studying and considering all the
elements (parts) and/or properties of the technological order (object of
research) in their mutual connection.
The
system analysis of the eighth technological order can be called: determining
the structure of this mode; establishing the nature of structural connections
of elements; studying the properties of elements; studying the composition and
properties of the entire technological order as a whole.
The
system analysis carried out in this article shows the presence of a system
connection between the technological basis of organizations and the factors of
the world order [Glushchenko (2020)]. The analysis shows that there is
a systemic influence of the technological basis of organizations on the
following elements: types of the state; types of money (gold, credit money;
mottos; cryptocurrencies [Glushchenko (2009)]); management methods in
organizations; the type of the world currency system; forms of doing business
in the economy, in the corresponding historical and, at the same time,
technological periods of development.
On
this basis, we will agree under the concept of "technological order"
to understand the system integration into a single whole of such elements: the
technological basis of production in the economy and society; social production
relations; world order; types of business processes in the economy; management
methods and tools; concepts of personnel management of organizations in the
economy and society at a certain stage of the historical, technological,
economic, social, cultural process of economic and social development.
The
main provisions of the general theory of technological orders are described in [Glushchenko
(2021); Glushchenko (2020), p. 12-20]. Further development of
the general theory of technological orders should become an effective
methodological tool for forming the paradigm of organizations ' entry into a
new technological order.
An
example of a system analysis of the course of technological development of the
economy and society is given in Tables 1, 2. In Table 1, a system analysis of
the structure and content of elements of technological orders is carried out.
Table 1 System analysis
of the structure and elements of technological orders (beginning) |
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№ п/п |
Properties
of technological orders
(structures) /number
orders, rs,
time period; names technological
orde |
Types of production enterprises |
New types of products |
(1) |
(2) |
(3) |
(4) |
1.
|
"1st" technological order; time period 2000 BC – 9th century AD;
horse traction; |
Family, community |
Natural raw
materials, agricultural products, transport services |
2. |
"2nd"
technological order; Time period 9th
century-1770; Windmill, a water mill; |
Family, clan, craftsman, miller |
Flour,
sunflower oil; products of mechanical processing of agricultural products |
3. |
"3rd"
technological order; Time period
1770-1830; Textile machines; |
Textile manufactories, Enterprises; |
Machine-made
fabrics, manufactory products |
4. |
"4th"
technological order; Time period
1830-1880; steam engine; |
International monopolies |
Steam engines;
mechanisms; locomotives, rails; sleepers; |
5. |
"5th"
technological order; Time period 1880-1930; electric motor
and internal combustion engine; |
Multinational corporations, |
Cars, diesel
locomotives, airplanes, washing machines, refrigerators; radio, telegraph |
6. |
"6th"
technological order; Time period 1930-1970; electronic
computers; |
Multinational corporations, |
Electronic
computers, televisions; automation tools; flexible automated production
complexes |
7. |
The " 7th
" technological order; Time period 1970-2010;
microelectronics and microprocessors; |
Multinational
corporations, virtual corporations; strategic
alliances of corporations |
personal
computers; ATMs; plastic bank cards; mobile phones; |
8. |
The " 8th
" technological order; Time period 2010-2040; nanotechnologies
and neurotechnologies; |
global
information systems; clusters; technology platforms |
3-D printing
products, information products, transformation of human thinking (clip
thinking) |
Source: developed
by the author |
Table 1 System analysis of the structure and
elements of technological orders (end) |
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№ п/п |
Properties of
technological orders (structures) /number, names technological
orders, time period |
World order,
socio-economic formation; the form of the state |
Type of money; international
monetary system |
(1) |
(2) |
(5) |
(6) |
1 |
"1st"
technological order; time period
2000 BC – 9th century AD; horse traction; |
Individual
goods (grain, cattle ,furs) are equivalent; money changers and usurers |
communal and
tribal system; slavery; feudalism; communities; principalities; kingdoms |
2 |
"2nd" technological order; Time period 9th century-1770; Windmill, a water mill; |
feudalism;
principalities; kingdoms; land empires |
Gold as a
universal equivalent; money changers and usurers; receipts and bills of
exchange; monasteries as repositories of gold |
3 |
"3rd" technological order; Time period 1770-1830; Textile machines; |
monarchies; maritime empires; capitalism; |
National gold
currencies; paper money; central and commercial banks; stock exchanges;
securities |
4 |
"4th" technological order; Time period 1830-1880; steam engine; |
land and sea empires; monarchies;
capitalism; |
Paris
international monetary System, full-fledged (gold) money; paper money; |
5 |
"5th" technological order; Time period 1880-1930; electric motor and internal combustion
engine; |
Capitalism; imperialism; nation-states;
republics |
Genoese
gold-motto system; three international currency blocks; credit money |
6 |
"6th" technological order; Time period 1930-1970; electronic computers; |
States, military-political blocs of
States, a bipolar world; the United Nations (UN) |
gold and
mottos, the international Breton-Wood currency system, credit money; |
7 |
The " 7th " technological
order; Time period 1970-2010; microelectronics and microprocessors; |
Globalization;
States; trade and economic blocks of states; military and political blocks of
states; Global unipolar world, Post-industrial
society |
demonetization
of gold; the Jamaican International Monetary System; electronic and digital
money; Special Drawing
Rights (SDR, SDRs); Society for
Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications (SWIFT); trading systems |
8 |
The " 8th " technological
order; Time period 2010-2040; nanotechnologies and neurotechnologies; |
States; trade
and economic blocks of states; The process of decentralization of the
global unipolar world; Post-industrial society; |
Cryptocurrencies
(virtual, technological money); international cryptocurrency system; global
trading systems |
Source:
developed by the author |
The
system analysis of the entire historical technological process of the
development of modern civilization carried out above allows: to form
descriptive models of all technological structures that took place; to form a
descriptive model of the eighth technological structure. A descriptive model of
the eighth technological mode will be obtained in this article by combining
descriptions of elements of this mode. To do this, you need to combine the
contents of rows # 8 of the tables given in this article.
This
descriptive model of the eighth technological order acts as an image of the
future for the current period of historical and technological development.
The
system analysis of the entire historical technological process of the
development of modern civilization carried out above allows: to form
descriptive models of all technological structures that took place; to form a
descriptive model of the eighth technological structure. A descriptive model of
the eighth technological order will be obtained in this article by combining
descriptions of elements of this order. To do this, you need to combine the
contents of rows # 8 of the tables given in this article.
This
descriptive model of the eighth technological order acts as an image of the
future for the current period of historical and technological development.
The
image of the future eighth technological order may include such structural
elements.
1)
New
elements in the technological basis of organizations: nanotechnologies;
neurotechnologies; information technologies; digitalization technologies;
resource-saving technologies; environmentally friendly technologies [Glushchenko
(2020), p. 12-20].
2)
The
sector of advanced economic development: the service sector, including science
and education.
3)
The
main direction of the development of the monetary system: cryptocurrencies,
settlements on the Internet.
4)
Direction
of development of management systems: distributed management systems;
management of social development of personnel.
5)
Methods
of competition between organizations: at the level of organizational cultures,
organizational design and company values.
6)
Key
types of resources: intellectual and financial resources and others.
The
second way to represent the image model of the eighth technological order is
the formation of a table. This table will include the name and description of
the content of the factors of the model of the eighth technological order .
Such a factor model of the eighth technological order is shown in Table No. 3.
Table 3 Factor model of the eighth technological
order |
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№ п/п |
Factors
of the eighth technological order |
Description
of the factors of the eighth technological order |
(1) |
(2) |
(3) |
1. |
Time period |
2010-2040 |
2. |
Types of production enterprises |
global
information systems; clusters; technology platforms |
3. |
Technologies,
methods and scales of production; structure and characteristics of labor |
Nanotechnologies,
neurotechnologies, information technologies; development of mentality and
social development of employees |
4. |
World order,
socio-economic formation |
States; trade
and economic blocks of states; The process of
decentralization of the global unipolar world; Post-industrial society; |
5. |
Type of money; international
monetary system |
Cryptocurrencies
(virtual, technological money); international cryptocurrency system; global
trading systems |
6. |
Forms of development
of science and innovation |
Clusters,
technology platforms, university research laboratories, laboratories of
coprorations |
7. |
Economic
policy, Types of organizational structures in the economy |
Approved
innovation policy; clusters, technology platforms; Organizational
architecture; organizational design and culture |
8. |
The main forms
of higher education |
System-activity
approach, distance education |
9. |
The concept of organization management;
the concept of working with personnel |
Theory of technological
orders; neuromanagement, neuromarketing; management of social development of
personnel; higher project education |
10. |
The nature and features of the innovation
and investment process |
The innovation
process is constant and massive; the development of new forms of venture
investment, the activities of business angels and venture investment funds |
11. |
New types of production |
Production of
materials with specified properties, nanotechnology production,
environmentally friendly production; 3-D printing
products, information products, transformation of human thinking (clip
thinking) |
12. |
The main trend in the development of
human rights |
Ensuring
compliance with the rights of minorities |
Source: developed
by the author |
In
turn, this image of the future becomes the basis for the formation of the
paradigm of the development of the eighth technological order. At the same
time, the very paradigm of such development acts as
a philosophical and ideological basis for developing a policy for the
transition of organizations to the eighth technological order.
The
role of the paradigm of development of the eighth technological order is
related to the following. The formation of the correct paradigm of the
development of the eighth technological order will allow the organization to
get the maximum effect in the process of technological development.
Let us
explain the significance of the effective development of the eighth
technological order on the example of such an organization as the state. The
formation of the eighth technological order means the transition of the
technological basis of advanced organizations to this eighth technological
level. The products of enterprises of the eighth technological order will have
a higher (eighth) technological level. For this reason, these products will be
characterized by a higher monetary innovation multiplier. The innovative money
multiplier shows how many times the cost of the final product exceeds the cost
of raw materials and raw materials [Glushchenko
and Glushchenko (2016)]. It is known that a modern
automobile engine is about 30 times more expensive than the aluminum from which
it is made. Timely modernization of this engine through the use of technologies
of the eighth technological order will increase its quality. The possibility of
such modernization is confirmed in [Glushchenko
and Glushchenko (2016)]. At the same time, the innovative
money multiplier will increase. For example, this multiplier will become equal
to 37. This means that a particular company will receive more profit. This
means an increase in revenues to the country's budget. This means an increase
in the hardness of the national currency. This means increasing the stability
of the national monetary system. At the same time, the increase in the
stability of the national monetary system will be the result of the fact that
the innovative money multiplier will be significantly larger than the bank
money multiplier. As is known, the bank multiplier characterizes the effect of
increasing (multiplying) money on deposit accounts of commercial banks as a
result of their movement from one economic entity to another. In this case, the
total value of goods is greater than the money supply in the economy.
Therefore, in this case: there is no development of inflation; the national
currency is solid.
At the
same time, the gross domestic product increases; the volume of budget funds
increases; the country's development opportunities grow.
If the
modernization of the economy is not carried out, then there is a drop in the
competitiveness of products. In this case: the gross domestic product is
falling; the amount of budget funds is decreasing; the socio-economic crisis is
developing; the geopolitical situation of the state is deteriorating.
The
paradigm of an organization's entry into the eighth technological order can be
formed on the basis of consensus or on a confrontational basis. The paradigm of
the development of the eighth technological order in the organization is
consensual, if all subjects agree with its provisions. This paradigm has a confrontational character if its implementation
is accompanied by a conflict.
The
importance of forming an effective paradigm for the development of the eighth
technological order is confirmed by such a historical example.
Example
№1. In 1940 (the sixth technological
order), a mental conflict arose between the employees of the USSR Academy of
Sciences. This conflict is described in [Kolchinsky
et al. (2018)]. As a result of this conflict,
genetics and cybernetics were declared false sciences (pseudosciences).
Cybernetics and genetics were practically banned. Academician N. I. Vavilov and
other supporters of these scientific directions were repressed. N. I. Vavilov
was later posthumously rehabilitated. The technological result of this conflict
was the lag of the USSR in the field of computer technologies. This has reduced
the competitiveness of the economy's products. This technological lag,
presumably, had disastrous consequences for the country.
This
example shows how the system of social production relations (institutions) can
slow down the development of technologies. This gives reason to assert that
there is an interconnectedness of the specifics of technologies and the
characteristics of public institutions. When institutions and technologies do
not match, a crisis arises. The crisis will continue until the nature of the
institutions comes into line with the requirements of the technologic.
Therefore,
the formation of an effective paradigm and policy for the transition of organizations
to the eighth technological order is very important for organizations in the
21st century.
Therefore,
the paradigm of transition to a new technological order should include measures
aimed at detecting mental conflicts. Great attention should be paid to the rule
of law and respect for human rights [Glushchenko
(2018)].
If we
talk about the composition of technological directions in which, as predicted,
the development of the eighth technological order will take place, then we can
say the following.
The
method of system analysis of the technological structure is described in [Gluchshenko
(2021), pp. 22-34]. The paradigm and
policy of transition to a new technological order should include measures:
firstly, for the development of new technologies; secondly, measures for the
development of social institutions [Glushchenko
(2021)].
It
should be remembered that it is the disharmony between the essence of
technologies and the content of production institutions that is the source of
the crisis [Glushchenko (2008)].
Some
researchers believe that the eighth technological order will be based on
nanotechnologies [Glazyev and Kharitonov (2009)]. However, a more advanced system
analysis has shown that the technological basis of this technological order
will be: neurotechnologies; nanotechnologies; information technologies;
resource-saving technologies; digitalization technologies; environmentally
friendly technologies [Glushchenko (2020), p. 12-20]. The sources of new
scientific achievements will be: a deeper penetration into the structure of the
material world (nanotechnology); a more adequate knowledge of the work of the
human brain (neutrotechnology); more rational use of raw materials; minimizing
damage to nature and more.
At the
same time, as already noted, the subject of the new technological way will be
to increase the level of comfort and safety of people's lives. The solution of
these tasks will also be connected with the problem of resolving contradictions
between: technologically developed states and lagging states; between
technologically leading social groups and a technologically lagging part of the
population, and others. For a more complete reflection of the specifics of the
development of individual social groups of the population, a systematic
analysis of the properties of the technological structure may be required. In
Table 2, a systematic analysis of the properties of technological structures
that took place in the history of mankind is carried out.
Table 2 System analysis of the properties of technological structures
(beginning) |
|||
№ п/п |
Properties
of technological orders
(structures) /number technological
orders; time period; names technological
orders, |
Technologies,
methods and scales of production; structure and characteristics of labor |
New types of production |
(1) |
(2) |
(3) |
(4) |
1.
|
"1st" technological order; time period 2000 BC – 9th century AD; horse traction; |
Technologies of
manual, single and small-scale production; simple abstract work |
Mechanized
processing of materials based on horse-drawn traction; transport services
based on horse-drawn traction |
2. |
"2nd" technological order; Time period 9th century-1770; Windmill, a water mill; |
Technologies of
manual, single and small-scale production; simple abstract work |
mechanized
production of flour, oils based on the use of vert energy and water |
3. |
"3rd" technological order; Time period 1770-1830; Textile machines; |
Mechanized technologies of mass
production; professional labor skills |
Mechanized
textile production of fabrics |
4. |
"4th" technological order; Time period 1830-1880; steam engine; |
Mechanized
mechanical processing and transport services based on a steam engine |
Mechanized
technologies of mass production of machine-building products, knowledge and
professional training of employeesp |
5. |
"5th" technological order; Time period 1880-1930; electric motor and internal combustion
engine; |
Technologies of large-scale conveyor
production; special management and labor competencies |
Mechanized
mechanical processing; transport services based on an electric motor and an
internal combustion engine |
6. |
"6th" technological order; Time period 1930-1970; electronic computers; |
Technologies of automated large-scale production;
qualification requirements and job descriptions for employees |
Production of
electronic computers and automated production complexes |
7. |
The " 7th " technological
order; Time period 1970-2010; microelectronics and microprocessors; |
Flexible automated production; competence
cards and qualification cards for employees |
Automated
production of trace elements and printed circuit boards, microprocessor
devices |
8. |
The " 8th " technological
order; Time period 2010-2040; nanotechnologies and neurotechnologies; |
Nanotechnologies, neurotechnologies,
information technologies; development of mentality and social development of
employees |
Production of
materials with specified properties, nanotechnology production, environmentally
friendly production |
Source: developed
by the author |
Table 2 System analysis of the properties of
technological structures (end) |
|||
№ п/п |
Properties
of technological orders
(structures) /number
technological orders, time period; names technological
orders, |
The
paradigm of organization management; the paradigm of working with personnel |
Economic
policy, Types of organizational structures in the economy |
(1) |
(2) |
(5) |
(6) |
1.
|
"1st" technological order; time period 2000 BC – 9th century AD; horse traction; |
Centralization,
organization, control, labor stimulation, management as an art, unity of
command, human relations |
Informal
economic policy, traditional organizational structures |
2. |
"2nd" technological order; Time period 9th century-1770; Windmill, a water mill; |
The formation
of requirements for the manager, the theory of power, the study of the impact
of automation |
Informal
economic policy, traditional organizational structures |
3. |
"3rd" technological order; Time period 1770-1830; Textile machines; |
Economic
theory, financial theory, the principle of specialization of industrial
workers |
Informal
economic policy, traditional organizational structures |
4. |
"4th" technological order; steam engine; Time period 1830-1880, |
Theory of
public services, analysis of employee motivation |
Informal
economic policy, traditional organizational structures |
5. |
"5th" technological order; Time period 1880-1930; electric motor and internal combustion
engine; |
Scientific
management, methods of statistics in management, personnel work |
Approved
economic and industrial policy, Functional organizational structures |
6. |
"6th" technological order; Time period 1930-1970; electronic computers; |
Operational
research, system analysis, marketing, program-target approach, personnel
management, personnel motivation systems |
Approved
economic and industrial policy; strategic management; product-oriented
organizational structures of the company |
7. |
The " 7th " technological
order; Time period 1970-2010; microelectronics and microprocessors; |
Project
approach; post-industrial marketing; participatory management, human resource
management |
Approved
innovation policy; matrix organizational structures; clusters; technology
platforms |
8. |
The " 8th " technological
order; Time period 2010-2040; nanotechnologies and neurotechnologies; |
Theory of
technological orders; neuromanagement, neuromarketing; management of social
development of personnel; higher project education |
Approved
innovation policy; clusters, technology platforms; Organizational
architecture; organizational design and culture |
Source:
developed by the author |
The
following areas of work can be included in the structure of the paradigm of the
organization's transition to a new technological order:
·
development
of proposals for the further development of methodological provisions of the
general theory of technological orders;
·
development
of research on practical problems of the general theory of technological orders
in specific sectors of the national economy and society;
·
formation
of a set of measures to improve the effectiveness of social development
programs of society and individual social groups;
·
development
of legal norms and a set of measures aimed at the formation of technological
platforms and clusters that carry out the development of new technologies of
the eighth technological order (nanotechnologies; neurotechnologies;
information technologies; digitalization technologies; resource-saving
technologies; environmentally friendly technologies);
·
formation
of a system of measures aimed at the development of social and industrial
institutions of the eighth technological order;
·
creation
of a multi-contour management system for the development of industries of a new
technological order;
·
development
of a set of measures for the formation of a set of indicators to assess the
effectiveness of the development processes of the eighth technological order,
and much more. At the same time, all these directions of this paradigm should
be coordinated with each other.
Let's
consider these areas of the paradigm of the organization's transition to a new
technological order in more detail. Proposals for the further development of
the theoretical provisions of the general theory of technological orders may include the development of methodology as
part of all the functions of this theory. These are the following functions of
the scientific theory of technological structures: integrative function;
methodological function; prognostic function; preventive function; function of
knowledge socialization; instrumental function. The content of the function of
the general theory of technological structures is reflected in more detail in
the work [Glushchenko (2021)].
The
category of events for the development of applied problems of the theory of
technological orders by branches of the national economy can include the
formation of branch directions of the theory of technological orders.
The
practical geopolitical direction of the general theory of technological
structures can solve the following tasks: forecasting geopolitical changes;
assessing the geopolitical consequences of the development of a new
technological order; developing adequate geopolitical measures, and others. The
significance of this direction of the theory of technological orders is
evidenced by the fact that the First and Second World Wars arose during the 5th
and 6th technological orders. These wars were the result of changes in the
economic power of States. In the middle of the 7th technological order, the
collapse of the USSR occurred. This collapse was largely due to the
technological lag of the USSR from the leading countries. As a result of the
collapse of the USSR, the bipolar world was transformed into a unipolar world.
It can be predicted that in the eighth technological order, the technological
and economic differentiation of countries will increase. Therefore, the
geopolitical results of the development of the eighth technological order will be
even more ambitious.
The
political science branch of the theory of technological orders can solve the
following tasks: justification of rational changes in the system of state law;
formation of an adequate scientific and technical policy; justification of
changes in social and industrial policy during the eighth technological order.
The
applied sociological direction of the general theory of technological orders
can deal with the issues of forecasting: trends in demographic development;
forecasting the social structure of society; estimating human life expectancy;
forecasting changes in the sphere of family relations, and others.
The
culturological branch component of the general theory of technological order
can carry out studies of cause-and-effect relationships between the features of
the technological order and cultural trends. This kind of interrelationships
can be studied in the following areas: fiction; painting; theater and cinema;
pop music and others.
The
medical branch theory of technological orders will be of a practical nature.
The medical branch theory of technological orders should investigate such
problems: technical progress in the field of medical equipment;
cause-and-effect relationships between the frequency of occurrence of various
diseases and the characteristics of the technological order. For example, it
should be recommended to study the dependence of the number of diseases of the
heart and other organs on the characteristics of the technological order. Such
studies allow you to carry out:
·
prognosis
of the development of various types of diseases during the eighth technological
order;
·
design
new medical equipment based on new technologies;
·
modernization
of existing medical equipment by introducing technologies of the eighth technological
order.
In the
process of industry research, a systematic analysis of the development of
certain industries can be carried out. For example, in the field of medicine,
two tables can be developed. In one table, it can be recommended to display the
change in the structure of the frequency of various diseases of the population,
depending on the technological order. The second table can describe the process
of development of medical equipment in the time periods of specific
technological orders.
Within
the framework of the paradigm of the state's entry into the eighth
technological order, there should be a program for the development of
individual technological platforms. These technology platforms should be
engaged in the development and implementation of new technologies in practice.
As already noted, new technologies include: nanotechnologies;
neurotechnologies; information technologies; digitalization technologies;
environmentally friendly technologies; resource-saving technologies. The tools for
the development of such platforms are described in [Glushchenko
(2020), pp. 44-63].
Within
the framework of the paradigm of the state's entry into the eighth
technological order, there should be a program for the development of new
technological platforms. These technology platforms should be engaged in the
development and implementation of new technologies in practice. As already
noted, new technologies include: nanotechnologies; neurotechnologies;
information technologies; digitalization technologies; environmentally friendly
technologies; resource-saving technologies. The tools for the development of
such platforms are described in [Glushchenko
(2020), pp. 44-63].
However,
new technologies will develop successfully only if new production institutions
contribute to their development.
The
mechanism of development of new industrial and social institutions of the
eighth technological order is described in [Glushchenko
(2021), pp. 554-563]. The process of
forming a management system for the formation of the eighth technological order
is presented in [Glushchenko
(2020), p. 54-63].
Measures
for the formation of a set of indicators for analyzing the effectiveness of the
development processes of the eighth technological order will be described in
the part called "Discussion" of this article.
It is
recommended to include the commercialization of new technologies and
innovations among the most important tasks. The process of obtaining economic
benefits from the repeated use of new technologies should be organized in the
national economy. Multiple introduction of new technologies can be called
"technology multiplication".
Such "technology multiplication" should be carried out by purposefully
introducing these new technologies into existing products. The method of
modernization of products or production capacities of firms when they enter the
eighth technological order is as follows.
1)
It
is recommended to study the composition of each of the types of technologies of
the eighth technological order (nanotechnologies, neurotechnologies, and
others).
2)
It
is necessary to study the principle of operation of the structural elements of
the modernization object.
3)
Next,
it is necessary to synthesize specific proposals to improve the comfort and
safety of the practical use of the modernization object.
4)
After
that, it is necessary to analyze the possibility of introducing new
technologies into an existing modernization object (products and production
facilities of the company).
5)
It
is necessary to create a project for the introduction of a new technology into
the object of modernization.
6)
It
is necessary to analyze and evaluate the real impact of the new technology on
the comfort and safety of the modernization object.
7)
It
is recommended to obtain an assessment of the economic effect of the work on
the modernization of this object.
The
economic efficiency of the introduction of new technologies in the economy is
determined by the number of such implementations. When a new technology is
introduced, it is systematically combined with the technologies of previous
technological orders. To characterize the intensity of the process of
introducing new technologies in the economy, we will introduce the concept of
"technology multiplication". The concept of "multiplication of
technologies" in this paper will act as an integral characteristic of the
number and depth of integration of new and old technologies in the economy
during the transition to a new technological order. The concept of
"multiplication of technologies" allows us to assess the economic
efficiency of using new technologies in the national economy of the country.
The greater the number of integrations of new technologies with technologies of
previous technological orders, the higher the economic efficiency of new
technologies.
3. Discussion
The
subjects of the development of the paradigm for the entry of organizations into
the eighth technological order can be: international organizations; national
academies of sciences; national governments; political parties; top managers of
corporations; heads of clusters and technology platforms; developers of new
technologies themselves, and others.
As
subjects of the development of the paradigm of the organization's entry into
the eighth technological order, they can develop their ideas. For example,
political parties can present their ideas on such issues: strengthening the
geopolitical position of the state; optimal distribution of productive forces
in the economy; increasing the efficiency of the process of socio-economic development;
harmonization of social and industrial relations; development of culture;
improvement of medical services for citizens and other issues. In the
Parliament, political parties can take legislative initiatives. These draft
laws can be focused on the synthesis of legal norms that contribute to the
acceleration of the development of the eighth technological order.
At the
same time, political parties should provide support and mentoring to those
entities whose activities contribute to the formation of the eighth
technological order in the economy and society. Such social and economic
assistance (mentoring) in relation to the developers of new scientific and
technical ideas is very important. Such assistance to developers is especially
important in the initial period of development of the eighth technological
order.
Public
business associations should also provide support to developers of new
technologies.
An
important element of the support system for new technologies is the work of
business angels and venture funds. Developed countries have their own systems
of support and mentoring of innovations. In countries where such a mentoring
system does not exist, there is a "brain drain". This reduces the
pace of development of such states.
Therefore,
the paradigm of organizations entering the eighth technological order should
contain measures to support developers of new technologies.
A
necessary element of effective management of the entry of organizations into
the eighth technological order is the formation of a system of indicators of
the effectiveness of this process. It is proposed to include the following
characteristics in such a system of indicators:
·
the
share of products (goods and services) belonging to the eighth technological
order in the total output of the national economy;
·
the
share of production technologies related to the eighth technological order in
the technological basis of the national economy;
·
the
share of employees engaged in the production processes of the eighth
technological structure;
·
the
amount of revenue per employee at enterprises of the eighth technological
structure;
·
the
cost of fixed assets of enterprises belonging to the eighth technological
order;
·
the
contribution of enterprises of the eighth technological order to the gross
domestic product of the country;
·
the
rate of annual increase in the share of firms of the eighth technological order
in the gross domestic product of the state;
·
the
share of fixed assets of the national economy that are used in the activities
of organizations belonging to the eighth technological order;
·
the
volume of "brain drain" or the influx of high-tech personnel into the
economy.
In
order to determine these indicators, it is necessary to propose criteria on the
basis of which an organization or a product can be attributed to the eighth
technological order.
In
this article, it is proposed to create a rating of states that best solve the
problem of entering the eighth technological order. In this case, the
indicators described above can be used.
In the
process of developing a paradigm for the entry of organizations into the eighth
technological order, it is necessary to take into account the situation of a
qualitative leap in the development of scientific and technological progress.
Such a leap is associated with the formation of the eighth technological order.
At the same time, the fact of the existence of a qualitative leap in scientific
and technological progress makes it impossible to use such research methods:
the continuation of existing trends; the use of statistical methods; the use of
analytical models. In the conditions of a qualitative leap in the development
of the forecasting object, heuristic methods gain an advantage.
Another
characteristic feature of the process of synthesis of the paradigm of the
organization's entry into a new technological order can be considered the
following. Such a paradigm should be systemic in nature. This means that in
such a paradigm, elements that have a technical, economic, and organizational
nature should be systematically combined.
At the
same time, the very process of forming such a paradigm can be recognized as a
research strategic project. This project of developing such a concept is based
on the application of methods of a number of sciences: geopolitics, economics,
sociology, technical sciences, theory of technological order and others.
Therefore,
the third feature of the process of synthesis of the paradigm of the
organization's entry into the eighth technological order is as follows. All
proposals included in the paradigm of entering the eighth technological order
must be scientifically justified. The lack of scientific justification for the
activities included in this paradigm can lead to errors. Let's pay attention to
a possible example of such an alleged error in the process of global
anti-crisis management.
Example
№ 2. As you know, on November 7, 2010, a
well-known article was published in the Financial Times newspaper. This article
was widely covered in the business press [Parmy
(2010)]. In this article, a proposal was
made to partially return to the "gold standard". This proposal
contradicted the decisions of the Jamaican International Monetary Conference on
the demonetization of gold. However, this proposal was supported by global and
national banking and financial circles. Central and commercial banks began to
implement this recommendation of the global monetary authorities. Therefore, an
intensive purchase of gold by central and commercial banks began. The growing
demand for gold has led to an increase in its value. Therefore, by July 2011,
the price of a troy ounce of gold (weighing 31.4 grams) on the global market
was already about $1920 per ounce. In this situation, analysts made forecasts
that by the end of 2011, the price of gold will exceed $2000 per troy ounce.
This development of events was considered as a negative trend in the financial
market. Moreover, the crisis in the gold market through the inclusion of
the" domino effect " could lead to global economic, social and
political destabilization.
Therefore,
in July 2011, the current situation on the gold market was subjected to a
systematic analysis in the book [Glushchenko
(2012), p. 62-63].
As a
result of such a systematic analysis, an expert evaluation opinion was
expressed that the reason for such a negative situation could be a proposal for
a partial return to the gold standard.
As a
result of the system analysis, it was proved that this proposal does not take
into account system connections in the economy. Therefore, such a proposal can:
probably lead to an increased demand for gold; it is possible to stimulate the
outflow of money from the real sector of the economy to the financial sector,
and others. An analysis of the legal basis of such a proposal showed that it
may not meet the decisions of the Jamaica Conference.
When
analyzing the methodological basis of such a proposal, it was noted that,
presumably, the proposal to partially return to the gold standard may not meet
a well-known theoretical requirement. This requirement is that there should be
a single methodology for building a monetary system. Therefore, the proposal
for a partial return to the gold standard violates the requirement of unity of
the methodology for building the monetary system.
In the
future, a more detailed analysis of the proposal for a partial return to the
gold standard was also carried out in the book [Glushchenko
(2012), p. 14]. This second book was
published by the author at the end of 2011.
The
authorities of the United States and Russia, the banking community of Russia
were informed about the results of these studies [Glushchenko
(2012), p. 62-63; Glushchenko (2012), p. 14].
Presumably,
the analysis of statistics shows that since the publication of the book [33, p.
62-63 ] in mid-July 2011, the price of gold began to
decline on the world market. This trend did not correspond to the forecasts of
bank analysts, which were published before the publication of the book [Glushchenko
(2012), pp. 62-63].
By the
beginning of 2012, the price of a troy ounce of gold was already about $1,600
per ounce. In 2014, the cost of one ounce of gold was about $1400 [Glushchenko
(2014), p. 250-255]. Subsequently, the price of gold
decreased to about $1,260 per troy ounce in 2017. The growth of gold prices
resumed only in 2020.
Presumably,
the results of scientific research [Glushchenko
(2012), p. 62-63; Glushchenko (2012), p. 14; Glushchenko (2014), p. 250-255] could
affect the monetary policy and banking practice of buying gold. Probably, as a
result of such changes, the price of one ounce of gold may decrease by about
$500-650 per ounce.
Such a
horizontal (historical) analysis of gold price statistics shows that presumably
the reason for the surge in gold prices in 2011 could be the proposal to
partially return to the gold standard?
An
expert assessment of the estimated economic effect of such a systematic
analysis of the proposal to partially return to the gold standard may look like
this.
Let's
assume that the amount of bank (thesaurus) gold alone in the world is about
60,000 tons.
Let's
perform the following actions.
1) Divide 60,000 tons of gold by the weight of one troy ounce (31.4 grams) of gold.
2) The resulting number of troy ounces (910,828,025) is multiplied by the value of the price reduction per ounce ($ 650).
3)
This calculation suggests that the probable
economic effect of the described system analysis [Glushchenko (2012), pp. 62-63; Glushchenko (2012), p. 14; Glushchenko (2014), pp. 250-255 ]
could be around $ 1 000 000 000 000 (one trillion dollars)?
In
2014, that amount was two and a half times more than the initial cost of the
stabilization Fund of the European Union; approximately three times the budget
of Russia?
This
example may allow us to draw the following conclusions: the high price of
possible mistakes; the need for preliminary discussion of the proposed
solutions by the scientific community; the need to form a unified
methodological approach in the process of developing the monetary subsystem of
a new technological structure?
It
should be noted that additional opportunities for analyzing the proposal for a
partial return to the gold standard are provided by a system analysis within
the framework of the theory of technological orders. Table 1 of this article
describes the historical dynamics of changes in the international monetary
system over the entire period of technological development. We will conduct a
systematic analysis of the development of the international monetary system.
This system analysis shows the following.
1) Throughout the entire historical period of development, Gresham's Law applies: "The worst money displaces the best from circulation." Does the proposal to partially return to the gold standard contradict Gresham's law?
2) To justify anti-crisis measures in the field of the monetary system, a scientific theory of post-industrial money is necessary.
3) The technological theory of money can be considered as a scientific theory of the post-industrial monetary system [Glushchenko (2009), p. 7-16; Glushchenko (2012), p. 2; Glushchenko (2012) ,p. 14].This thesis is also confirmed by the fact that the intensive development of cryptocurrency money systems begins after 2009.
The
third methodological feature of the concept of transition to a new
technological order should be recognized. The point is that such a paradigm
should be formed throughout the entire life cycle of a new technological order
in the global and national economy. Therefore, such a paradigm of transition to
the eighth technological order should be developed for the period up to
2030-2040. The fourth feature of such a paradigm may be that this paradigm
should include risk analysis. Based on the results of such an analysis, a list
of measures aimed at reducing the risks of the economy entering the eighth
technological order should be compiled. The fifth characteristic feature of
such a paradigm is that the methodology of predictive analysis should be used.
Such a predictive analysis is aimed at analyzing the future situation. This
predictive situation is formed in the process of entering the 8th technological
order.
The
sixth feature of the considered paradigm is that the content of this paradigm
should be periodically revised in accordance with the changes observed in the
external and internal environment of society and the national economy.
The
following (seventh) feature of this paradigm should be recognized: it should
initially be formed as a flexible document. Such a paradigm should initially
include the possibility of making changes to goals and tools in the event that
a change in the situation occurs.
In
addition, it should be borne in mind that the process of practical implementation
of the approved paradigm is actually a process of economic restructuring. This
will also cause changes in the life of society.
In the
process of restructuring society and the economy, there may be a need for
rebranding public authorities (corporations, clusters, technology platforms)
and other entities entering a new technological order.
In the
process of restructuring society and the economy, it may be necessary to
rebrand state bodies (corporations, clusters, technology platforms) and other
entities entering a new technological order.
Such a
rebranding can be used by an organization (state, corporation, and others) to
strengthen its position in the international arena and markets. At the same
time, rebranding allows for internal coordination of activities in the
organization.
The
definition of the concept of "brand" is given in [Knyshova
(2009), p. 206]. We will call the brand a
"corporate" sign that reflects the style and effectiveness of the
management system in the organization. This brand reflects the competitive
position of the organization in the international and national system of
geopolitical management.
The
positioning and use of such a brand can affect the effectiveness of
geopolitical and corporate governance.
The
continuation of the global crisis [Glushchenko
(2018),pp. 333-354] requires changes in
the work of organizations ' management systems. Such changes should improve the
perception of management processes in the international community, in the
markets, in the work of personnel.
One of
the most effective tools can be rebranding. At the same time, it is possible to
apply the methods used by transnational corporations to the system of public
administration. This is due to the fact that the state (to a certain extent)
can be considered as a geopolitical non-profit corporation in the
post-industrial global world [Glushchenko (2007)].
Under
the rebranding of the management system in this article, it is proposed to mean
a purposeful change in the image and brand. Rebranding is carried out in order
to improve the perception of the management system in the external and internal
environment of the organization.
The
decision on rebranding should be scientifically justified. To this end, it is
necessary to form the methodological foundations of such a rebranding.
The
philosophy of rebranding an organization is understood as the most general wise
idea of the need, conditions, concept, process and expected results of such a
rebranding.
Therefore,
there should be an element in the paradigm that describes the rebranding
options. Such rebranding should be accompanied by the development of a private
rebranding program for a specific subject of the eighth technological order.
Presumably,
when forming a general concept of transition to a new technological order, it
may happen that an essential element of such a concept may be a proposal, an
event that was not initially accepted. However, a deeper analysis of such a
rebranding proposal, the implementation of a creative modernization of this
proposal, presumably, can allow such an improved project to be implemented.
Example
No3. The idea of
the need to form a philosophy of rebranding the public administration system
was formulated during the preparation of a report at an international
scientific conference at the Faculty of Public Administration of Moscow State
University. The theses of the report on this under the title "The
philosophy of rebranding of domestic public administration" were posted on
the Lomonosov portal on 23.03.2019. However, the organizing committee of this conference
did not approve these theses. A variant of the policy of rebranding
organizations was published in [Glushchenko et al. (2019), p. 6-8]. Therefore, the idea of
carrying out such a rebranding could well find interested readers.
It is
likely that these theses on the problem of rebranding organizations during the
crisis were carefully studied. In the future, these theses could receive their
own creative development.
Therefore,
it cannot be excluded that these theses could become the starting point for the
formation of the rebranding process and significant changes in the functioning
of the national public administration system? It is known that in the future
such changes were formulated in the form of a reform of the management system
and approved by holding a referendum in 2020.
Further
development of the methodology of rebranding organizations led to the formation
of a detailed theory of rebranding, reflected in a number of publications [Glushchenko
(2021); Glushchenko (2020), p. 326-345]. Such a scientific
theory of branding and rebranding of organizations can be useful. This is due
to the fact that it contains a methodology that can be practically used by
various economic entities in the process of their entry into the eighth
technological order.
Application
for funding of the work: the work was carried out at the expense of the
author's own personal funds; there are no external sources of funding for the
work.
4. Conclusion
The
article develops a methodology for the formation of a paradigm for the entry of
states and other types of organizations into the eighth technological order in the economy and society. The paradigm is
understood as a systematic combination of such elements: philosophy; ideology;
organizational culture; the policy of the organization's entry into the eighth
technological order.
The
article examines and substantiates the concept of "technological
order". The technological order is understood as the system integration
into a single whole of such elements: the technological basis of the
organization; production institutions; forms of doing business; methods and
management structures in organizations.
The
paper proves that the technological order is a large multi-level system. Therefore,
the study of technological orders should be carried out within the framework of
the theory of large systems, system analysis and synthesis.
The
article describes the content of these elements of the paradigm of the
organization's entry into a new technological order. The article proves that
the beginning of the development of such a paradigm should be a system analysis
of the technological order. Based on this system analysis, an image of the
future of this technological order can be synthesized.
The
article provides examples confirming: the thesis about the need for
coordination of technologies and production institutions; the importance of
scientific justification of measures, in particular, in the field of global
monetary policy; the need for rebranding organizations in the process of
changing their external and internal environment, and much more.
The
article describes the practical tasks of a number of branch theories of
technological orders (geopolitics, politics, sociology, culture, medicine).
The
paper proves that an important part of the process of an organization's entry
into the eighth technological order can be the rebranding of organizations.
Application
for funding of the work: the work was carried out at the expense of the
author's own personal funds; there are no external sources of funding for the
work.
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