FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES IN INDIA- A POLICY PERIOD ANALYSIS

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.29121/granthaalayah.v8.i11.2020.2454

Keywords:

Foreign Exchange Reserves (FER), External Commercial Borrowings (ECBs), Liberalization, Globalization, World Recovery

Abstract [English]

Motivation/Background: Foreign exchange reserves (forex reserves) received large-scale interest among the developing economies because of rapid increase in globalization, the acceleration of capital flows and the integration of capital markets domestically and globally as well. The expansion in the volume of trade activities and capital inflows in the form of investments and external commercial borrowings (ECBs) has led to the emergence of importance of managing the foreign exchange reserves. Foreign exchange reserves (FER) are regulated and managed by the various countries’ central banks.


Method: The study is divided into four policy periods, namely, Liberalization, Globalization, World Recovery and Global financial crises. It will be using semi log growth equation model with dummy variables to find out the growth rates in foreign exchange reserves for different policy periods. Trends in foreign exchange reserves have been analysed for the period 1991-2017.


Results: The finding of the study presents that the level of foreign exchange reserves are statistically significant in all the policy periods except world recovery, and the growth rates are also significant in all the policy periods.


Conclusion: The current paper can be of great use for the policy makers as it will help them to analyse the trends in foreign exchange reserves in India not only during various policy periods but also in predicting the future trends of the foreign exchange reserves.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Barnichon, R. (2008). International Reserves and Self Insurance against External Shocks. Washington, DC: International Monetary Fund.

Chowdhury, F. (2015). Prospects of Foreign Exchange Reserves- A Study on Bangladesh. DIU Journal of Business and Economics, 9(1), 77-90.

Chowdhury, M., Uddin, M., Islam, M. (2014). An econometric analysis of the determinants of foreign exchange reserves in Bangladesh. Journal of World Economic Research, 3 (6), 72-82.

Dabla-Norris, E., Kim, J., Shirono, K. (2011). Optimal Precautionary Reserves for Low-Income Countries: A Cost-Benefit Analysis. Washington DC: International Monetary Fund.

Dooley, M., Lizondu, J., Matheison, D. (1989). The currency composition of foreign exchange reserves. IMF Staff Papers, 36(2), 385-434. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/3867147

Green, R., Tom, T. (2007). Are high foreign exchange reserves in emerging markets a blessing or a burden? Occasional paper no. 6, Department of the treasury, Office of International affairs.

Hatase, M., Mari, O. (2009). Did the structure of trade and foreign debt affect reserve currency composition? Evidence from interwar Japan European Review of Economic History, 13 (3), 319-347. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S1361491609990141

Hayashi, F., Sims, C. (1983). Nearly Efficient Estimation of Time Series Models with Predetermined, but not Exogenous, Instruments. The Econometric Society, 51(3), 783-798. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1912158

International Monetary Fund, International Financial Statistics, IMF Data, website of IMF.Accessed June 2017.

Islam, M.S. (2009). An Economic Analysis of Bangladesh’s Foreign Exchange Reserves. SAS Working Paper 85.

Krušković, B., Maričić, T. (2015). Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Foreign Exchange Reserves to Economic Growth in Emerging Economies. Applied Economics and Finance, 2(1), 102-108. DOI: https://doi.org/10.11114/aef.v2i1.653

Mohanty, M., Philip, T. (2006). Foreign exchange reserve accumulation in emerging markets: what are the domestic implications? ‘SSRN-id1632410’. Bank for International Settlements, 39-52.

Moore, W., Glean, A. (2016). Foreign exchange reserve adequacy and exogenous shocks. Applied Economics, 48(6), 490-501. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2015.1083085

Ozyildirim, S., Yaman, B. (2005). Optimal versus Adequate Level of International Reserves: Evidence for Turkey. Applied Economics, 37(13), 1557-1569. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036840500166373

Polterovich, V., Victor, P. (2003). Accumulation of foreign exchange reserves and long term growth. SSRN-id1751866. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1751866

Ray, S. (2012). Foreign Exchange Reserve and its Impact on Stock Market Capitalization: Evidence from India. Research on Humanities and Social Sciences, 2 (2), 46-61.

Reddy, Y. (2002). India’s foreign exchange reserves- policy, status and issues. Economic and Political Weekly, 37 (20), 1906-1914.

Reserve Bank of India, Database on Indian Economy, Statistics, website of RBI. Accessed June 2017.

Sahu, S. (2015). Adequacy of India’s Foreign Exchange Reserves. The Clearing Corporation of India Limited, Monthly Newsletter.

Sen, P. (2005). India’s foreign exchange reserves: An embarrasement of riches. Economic and political weekly, 40(20), 2018-2019.

Shrestha, P. (2016). Macroeconomic Impact of International Reseves: Empirical Evidence from South Asia. NRB Working Paper No. 32.

Singh, C. (2005). Should India use Foreign Exchange Reserves for Financing Infrastructure? Stanford Center for International Development, Working Paper No. 256.

World Bank, World Bank Data Bank, website of World Bank. Accessed June 2017.

Worrel, D. (1976). The theory of optimal foreign exchange reserves in a developing country. Sir Arthur Lewis Institute of Social and Economic Studies, University of the West Indies, 25(3), 259-279.

Downloads

Published

2020-12-11

How to Cite

BHAKRI, S., & VERMA, A. (2020). FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES IN INDIA- A POLICY PERIOD ANALYSIS. International Journal of Research -GRANTHAALAYAH, 8(11), 204–210. https://doi.org/10.29121/granthaalayah.v8.i11.2020.2454