ANALYSIS OF VARIATIONS IN TREND IN NOVEL CORONAVIRUS DISEASE IN SOUTHERN TAMIL NADU, INDIA
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.29121/granthaalayah.v9.i5.2021.3913Keywords:
COVID 19, Tamilnadu, CUSUM, Trend analysisAbstract [English]
Corona Virus Disease (COVID) is the newly identified communicable disease which originally found in China first and its spread was found all over the world. The spread made a huge impact among people around the world. In this study, the variation of trends in novel COVID spread is determined in the southern region of Tamilnadu state of India. Tamilnadu ranks in the seventh position in the total population among the 29 states in India. This can be one of the reasons for the spread of the disease. In this study, the trend patterns in the spread of disease are determined from May to November for the year 2020 in southern districts of Tamilnadu. The results of the CUSUM test indicated that all the districts had a statistically significant step jump in June. The Mann-Kendall test indicated that there is an increasing trend in June in all the districts and decreasing trend in October and November. From the results, it is suggested that the first phase vaccination can be implemented in Madurai, Virudhunagar, Kanyakumari and Thoothukudi districts.
Downloads
References
Sarkar, K., Khajanchi, S., and Nieto, J. J. Modeling and forecasting the COVID-19 pandemic in India. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 139, 2020, 110049. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.110049
Murugesan, B., Karuppannan, S., Mengistie, A. T., Ranganathan, M., and Gopalakrishnan, G. Distribution and Trend Analysis of COVID-19 in India: Geospatial Approach. Journal of Geographical Studies, 4(1), 2020, 1-9. DOI: https://doi.org/10.21523/gcj5.20040101
Tomar, A., and Gupta, N. Prediction for the spread of COVID-19 in India and effectiveness of preventive measures. Science of The Total Environment, 2020, 138762. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138762
Bag, R., Ghosh, M., Biswas, B., and Chatterjee, M. Understanding the spatio‐temporal pattern of COVID‐19 outbreak in India using GIS and India's response in managing the Pandemic. Regional Science Policy & Practice, 2020. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/rsp3.12359
Kumar, S. U., Kumar, D. T., Christopher, B. P., & Doss, C. (2020). The rise and impact of COVID-19 in India. Frontiers in medicine, 7, 2020, 1-7. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/fmed.2020.00250
Sivapragasam, C., Balamurli, S., Deepak, M., Prakhar, A., and Muttil, N. Trends in rainfall patterns over the Tamarabarani basin in Tamil Nadu, India. International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Modelling and Simulation Society of Australia and New Zealand, 2013, 2583-2589
Saravanan, P., Sivapragasam, C., Balamurali, S., and Priya, M. M. Analysis of variations of Trend in precipitation in Vellar river basin, Tamilnadu, India. ICDMSDR-2016, 2016, 38.
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2021 S. Ajith, C. Sivapragasam, V. Arumugaprabu, P. Saravanan, PL. Meyyappan
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
With the licence CC-BY, authors retain the copyright, allowing anyone to download, reuse, re-print, modify, distribute, and/or copy their contribution. The work must be properly attributed to its author.
It is not necessary to ask for further permission from the author or journal board.
This journal provides immediate open access to its content on the principle that making research freely available to the public supports a greater global exchange of knowledge.
