ANALYSIS OF VARIATIONS IN TREND IN NOVEL CORONAVIRUS DISEASE IN SOUTHERN TAMIL NADU, INDIA
Keywords:COVID 19, Tamilnadu, CUSUM, Trend analysis
Corona Virus Disease (COVID) is the newly identified communicable disease which originally found in China first and its spread was found all over the world. The spread made a huge impact among people around the world. In this study, the variation of trends in novel COVID spread is determined in the southern region of Tamilnadu state of India. Tamilnadu ranks in the seventh position in the total population among the 29 states in India. This can be one of the reasons for the spread of the disease. In this study, the trend patterns in the spread of disease are determined from May to November for the year 2020 in southern districts of Tamilnadu. The results of the CUSUM test indicated that all the districts had a statistically significant step jump in June. The Mann-Kendall test indicated that there is an increasing trend in June in all the districts and decreasing trend in October and November. From the results, it is suggested that the first phase vaccination can be implemented in Madurai, Virudhunagar, Kanyakumari and Thoothukudi districts.
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Copyright (c) 2021 S. Ajith, C. Sivapragasam, V. Arumugaprabu, P. Saravanan, PL. Meyyappan
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