Original Article An analytical study on capital structure and its impact on profitability
INTRODUCTION Capital structure
is a key factor in a firm's financial management, ensuring the optimal
proportion of debt and equity. The capital structure may affect a firm's cost
of capital and, consequently, its financial performance, so there is a constant
quest for the optimal capital structure, particularly regarding the level of
debt. However, the capital structure decision involves a balance between risk
and profitability, and there are indications that the choice of structure is
related to the industry in which a firm operates Ahmad
(2014). Although a substantial amount of research
has been conducted, the link between a firm's profitability and its use of debt
has been ambiguous—there have been conflicting theories and findings. Leverage
is expected to be either positively or negatively related to profitability Yegon et al. (2014). This quantitative analysis of the
relationship between capital structure and profitability is conducted on a
cross-sectional sample of listed firms in the USA better to understand the
contribution of debt to corporate profitability. Theoretical Framework A critical theme
links leverage and profitability in both theory and empirical research in
corporate finance. One of the key themes in both theoretical models and
empirical research in corporate finance is the relationship between leverage
and profitability. There have been different theories and conflicting
predictions. The Trade-off Theory posits that firms' debt ratios are influenced
by the trade-off between the interest tax shield and bankruptcy costs, leading
to a non-monotonic relationship between leverage and profits. According to the
Pecking Order Theory, information asymmetries create a pecking order of
financing sources, with low-growth firms relying on debt, and there should be a
negative link between profitability and the choice of financing source. In the
Agency Theory, the cost of managerial monitoring rises as the proportion of
debt increases, and hence a negative relationship is expected between leverage
and profitability. Capital structure
refers to the combination of debt and equity financing and is typically
classified into long-term debt, short-term debt, total debt, equity, and
retained earnings. Much theory and empirical work have been done in the area of
capital structure to explain which factors determine a company's capital
structure and how it affects performance. There is a broad consensus that the
higher the returns, the lower the leverage firms use, although this varies
across industries. In a study of 500 publicly listed firms across a wide range
of industries, total debt is negatively correlated with profitability, as
measured by return on assets, and these relationships are also
industry-specific Yegon et al. (2014), Ahmad
(2014). Trade-off Theory According to the
trade-off theory of capital structure, companies seek to determine the optimal
leverage ratio by balancing the tax benefits of debt financing and the costs of
financial distress Yegon et al. (2014). The after-tax cash flow, risk-adjusted
return on assets, and the firm's market value are improved by the tax
deductibility of interest payments on debt. Profitability benefits firms by
enabling them to rationalise their debt levels and make the most of the tax
deductibility of interest, thereby reducing their average cost of debt capital.
Such firms make the highest profits when they invest in profitable assets to
generate excess cash flows, thereby conveying to the outside world the benefit
of their asset quality, and may use debt to convey this information to
outsiders. The higher the
quality of debt, the lower the interest rate profitable firms can charge,
making them more likely to have higher leverage. High profits and retained
earnings make firms more appealing to lenders, and bank debt provides more
capital for business profits. Some studies indicate a positive correlation
between capital structure and profitability, while others indicate mixed or
negative results. Firms like banks may find it beneficial to lower their
average cost of capital by taking on certain amounts of debt, and thus
encourage debt to the extent it can perform that function. Pecking Order Theory According to the
pecking order theory of Kalui
(2017), leverage depends on the availability of
internal financial resources. Hence, firms with higher profitability should
exhibit a negative relationship with capital structure. In addition, if large
companies are willing to invest for the long term using their own capital, the
pecking order theory suggests they tend to have little or no debt. Agency Theory Agency problems
arise between owners and managers when their interests are misaligned, and it
is difficult or costly for owners to oversee managers. These can be a part of
the capital structure. As debt increases, creditors gain rights over the firm
under contractual agreements with the firm's owners. These contractual
relations encourage managers to focus more on financing and intensify managers'
pressure Ario Pratomo and Ghafar Ismail (2006). Although the agency problem may still be
present to the extent that managers sub-optimise investment decisions, the more
leverage the firm has, the greater the risk of liquidation, which, at the end
of the day, can result in losses for managers as well Warokka
et al. (2011). This fixed
interest payment is often part of a debt arrangement and also serves as a
disciplining device for agents. The higher the level of debt, the more interest
must be paid, which reduces cash flows for new investments and induces
monitoring of managers to reduce the agency problem. In addition, if profits
are lower than expected, the probability of bankruptcy increases, and if no
other factor changes, failing to pay interest reduces the rights managers now
hold to operate the business. Methodology This section
explains the data sources, variable measurements and econometric models used
for the analysis of capital structure and profitability. After specifying the
theoretical framework, the study investigates the relationship in both linear
and nonlinear forms, considering several alternative model specifications to
ensure robustness. Data Sources The data were
collected from nine manufacturing sectors listed on the Stock Exchange of
Pakistan between 2006 and 2016. The empirical analysis of the relationship
between capital structure and profitability was done with 515 firm-year
observations. Data from the relevant areas of the database were extracted,
transformed, and consolidated to obtain a complete view of all the selected
companies. The information on total debt, long-term debt, and shareholders'
equity was taken from the Balance Sheet of the firms, whereas the data on
earnings before tax, interest, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) was
gathered from the firms' Profit and Loss Accounts. At the same time, sales and
market price data were gathered from the Revenue Account, and Return on Equity
was calculated. One limitation of the study is the incomplete data for some
companies, which restricts the inclusion of companies from other sectors. Thus,
only nine sectors of industry were chosen for the analysis for the following
reasons: Variable Measurement In the analysis,
the dependent variable is earnings before tax, interest, depreciation, and
amortisation (EBITDA), which reflects the firm's financial performance. The
independent variable is capital structure, measured in three ways: total
debt/total assets (TD/TA), long-term debt/total assets (LTD/TA), and
equity/total assets (E/TA). The other control variables were also employed in
the models presented: sales (SA), earnings before interest, tax, depreciation,
and amortisation (EBITDA), and market price (MP). Thus, in addition to capital
structure, the firm's size (SA) is another factor influencing its financial
performance. The proportion of financing in the capital structure can vary from
one firm to another, depending on the nature of their business and activities.
Besides, firm sales (SA) not only reflect the firm's size but also drive its
development, which in turn influences the firm's financial performance. Two
additional transformations were also performed to verify the robustness of the
results. These were the semi-log (natural-log) and square-root transformations.
The original data was also used.
Econometric Models The models for
estimating the impact of capital structure on profitability included fixed- and
random-effects models, as well as pooled ordinary least squares. The study also
used the pooled ordinary least squares (Pooled OLS) estimation technique and applied
the Hausman specification test to determine whether a fixed-effects or
random-effects model better represents the data. The study also used the
Breusch-Pagan Lagrange multiplier test to choose between pooled ordinary least
squares and random-effects estimators, since neither requires
first-differencing the data. To further check for the mixed results of capital
structure, the study entered both the equity to total assets ratio and the long
debt to total assets into a single model specification, and the same will also
be carried out by including capital structure under the semi-log transformation
to check for consistency in the robustness of the relation Aishwarya
et al. (2022). Data Sources The sample
comprises publicly listed companies from 14 sectors of the Indian economy,
including steel, auto, textiles, cement, capital goods, information technology
(IT), pharmaceuticals, power, telecom, consumer electronics, oil, agriculture,
FMCG and engineering. A few sectors comprise the largest number of firms in
this dataset, all of which are listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), the
National Stock Exchange (NSE), and the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX) of India.
The hash of the registration number reduces the risk of duplication in the
study. The basic information is kept as it does not affect the study's results,
which concern the effect of capital structure on profitability. The raw data is
first transformed in Microsoft Excel, then transformed again in the software
package STATA to estimate the models. Several Indian companies lack data for
sufficiently long periods and are therefore not suitable for estimation. The data set has
certain limitations, such as a lack of operational and firm-specific accounting
data. For many firms, the required data remains limited and/or unavailable.
Paperwork introduces complexities into the raw data that could lead to further
analysis of the model, generating distortions and structure, and complicating
the process of reaching meaningful statements and conclusions. The shortest
interval in the sample spans from 2007 to 2019. Twelve companies have reported
uninterrupted over the span 2006-2019, while one sector has reported for the
period 2011-2018. So there can be no additional supplementary datasets or
alternative estimates in the arrangement of the construction dataset, reduced
to 12 of the remaining 14 sectors. Variable Measurement The dependent
variable is profit, which in this study is the profit (net income) generated
from the assets (total assets) deployed Kebewar
(2012). The capital structure of the firm (the ratio between short-term debt,
long-term debt and equity capital) is regarded as an important independent
variable. The information on Capital structure is from the Stock Exchange
balance sheet and the firm's annual report Ahmad
(2014). The firm's total assets, total equity, and
long-term debt are used to calculate the capital structure ratio. The Asset
Turnover ratio (Net sales/Total assets) measures the utilisation of the firm's
assets, and the Current ratio (Total Current Assets/Total Current Liabilities)
measures the firm's liquidity. Econometric Models Empirical analysis
of the relationship between capital structure and profitability can be
conducted using econometric methods. The analysis uses two well-known panel
data models, random effects and fixed effects (D), to capture the long-run
relationship between capital structure and profitability. As a better
alternative than cross-sectional analysis and time series analysis Ahmad
(2014); Shinta Manurung, 2014). Each model is also
subject to a battery of tests to ensure that its underlying assumptions are
met. The following
econometric specifications are considered in the study. First, two-way
fixed-effects and random-effects regression models are estimated using the
following panel data specification:
where
PROF_itrepresents the profitability of the firm iin year t, measured through
return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE). CF_itdenotes the capital
structure or leverage ratio of the firm, while Z_itrepresents a vector of
firm-level control variables. μ_icaptures unobserved firm-specific
effects, ν_tcaptures unobserved time-specific effects, and ε_itis the
error term. In this model, the long-term debt-to-total-assets ratio is
considered the most suitable proxy for leverage. Second, the
analysis also adopts the following dynamic panel data model with one lag of the
dependent variable:
where
PROF_itrepresents the profitability of the firm iin year t, while
PROF_(it-1)denotes the one-period lagged profitability variable.
CF_itrepresents the capital structure or leverage ratio, and Z_itdenotes a
vector of firm-level control variables. ε_itis the error term. The coefficient
θ_1captures the persistence of profitability over time, whereas
θ_2measures the effect of leverage on profitability. To address potential
endogeneity and simultaneity bias between leverage and profitability, the study
employs the Arellano and Bond two-step dynamic panel Generalised Method of
Moments (GMM) estimator. The validity of the model is assessed using diagnostic
tests, including the Arellano-Bond autocorrelation test and the Sargan/Hansen
test of overidentifying restrictions. Literature Review This literature
survey first summarises empirical studies on the relationships between capital
structure and firm profitability before setting up the empirical framework.
Leverage–profitability relations are examined across a variety of industries
and companies of different sizes; there is no consensus on the nature of the
relationship. However, most studies show a positive relationship between
leverage and profitability. Specifically, Kebewar
(2012) highlights that indebtedness has a significant and positive effect on
profitability for service and distribution sector firms, an inconclusive effect
for manufacturing sector firms, and a negative effect for construction sector
firms. There is a positive relationship between capital structure and
profitability in Kenya's automobile sector, as found by Aishwarya
et al. (2022). In the last 50
years, researchers have examined the relationship between capital structure and
firm performance at both the absolute and intensive levels. However, the focus
has tended to be on one sector or market. In the United States, Simerly and Li
(2000) explore the moderating influence of environmental dynamism on the
capital structure–performance link. In markets with imperfect information about
credit, Stiglitz and Weiss (1981) examine credit rationing. Mei-Chu and
Yen-Sheng (2002) consider how sources of financing and capital growth affect
the profitability of Taiwanese small enterprises. Weill (2003, 2008)
investigates both the direct impact of leverage on corporate performance and
the impact of the institutional environment on this relationship from the
French perspective. Zeitun and Tian (2007) explore the capital structure –
corporate performance relationship in Jordan, and access to finance, credit
risk and investment are analysed in the timber sector in Coric et al. (2020). Empirical evidence of leverage and profitability Financial leverage
can affect a company's profitability. The connection between leverage and the
profitability of publicly traded firms has been the subject of extensive
empirical research. The inverse and significant relationship between leverage
and profitability has been reported to exist around the time period of this
study or outside of it. The studies conducted by Aishwarya
et al. (2022), Wajid
Raza (2013) and Kebewar
(2012) on the listed firms of the Indian Stock Exchange, Karachi Stock
Exchange and the firms listed on the French stock exchange, respectively,
indicated that profitability had a negative statistically significant effect on
capital structure choice of the listed firms. Industry and Firm-size Moderators In the capital
structure–profitability nexus, industry and firm size independently moderate
the effects of leverage on profitability. Moderation differs across the
countries in which MNCs are incorporated. Leverage yields higher profits in
services but limits profits in manufacturing. For leverage, small- and
medium-sized MNCs in extractive industries are more profitable, whereas large
MNCs and those in the trade sector are less profitable. The profit benefits of
leverage are shorter-lived for larger, higher-growth manufacturing firms Kebewar
(2012). The recent surge
in global liquidity has brought the issue of corporate capital structure
decisions back to the forefront. At the same time, the finance literature has
noted remarkable persistence in capital structure across industries and firm
sizes. There is intriguing, though conflicting, evidence in the prior
literature regarding the ‘capital structure puzzle’ of the relationship between
leverage and firm profitability. The theoretical foundations of the capital
structure–profitability transmission mechanism are still the subject of broad
discussion. However, a few recent studies acknowledge that leverage, at a
minimum, has a differential effect on profitability across firm dimensions such
as country, age, and public or private status, and, in many cases, provides a
significant boost—moderated by the higher-order MNC corporate profit rate. A
self-consistent modelling framework that incorporates MNC heterogeneity is used
to explain these patterns using a sample of publicly listed firms Robert
Stallkamp (2015). Empirical Analysis Capital structure
plays a significant role in a firm's performance by affecting profitability. A
suitable capital structure can serve as an indicator of an organisation's
future financial stability and can also be a factor in determining a firm's
continuous growth and development Aishwarya
et al. (2022). One of the factors that is challenging for the organisation is
deciding on its capital structure, since numerous studies have produced
various, even contradictory, findings. For example, several studies claim that
there is a strong association between capital structure and a firm’s
profitability across several organisations Davis et
al. (2018). In every
organisation, the most challenging component is the capital structure, because,
if used appropriately, it can help the firm grow and develop, or it can cause
it to go bankrupt and be extinguished in the end Ahmad
(2014). Appropriate deployment of the capital
structure can increase the organisation's profitability, prompting management
to opt to maximise shareholder value to become more competitive with
competitors in the same industry. Hence, research on capital structure and its
impact on firm profitability is crucial for improving the firm's stability and
performance. Descriptive Statistics Analysis stays to
the point, covering key aspects of capital structure and profitability without
becoming overly wordy or scholarly. The paper consistently presents empirical
findings about the capital structure–profitability relationship and relates the
work to previous studies of industry and size effects. Table 2 reports descriptive statistics for the
entire sample and for various industry- and firm-size sub-samples to examine
the relationship between capital structure and profitability. The distributions
of financial ratios defined as profitability indicators (operating income, net
income, and earnings before interest and taxes, or EBIT) are non-negative,
except for negative net income values in the Services sector. The values of all
leverage measures range from 0 to 1, due to the lack of extreme capital-structure
variations in the sample. Tabulations of means, standard deviations, minimum
and maximum values are reported for each variable, representing the univariate
distribution of each key variable in accordance with the specified model
definitions. The control
variables are the firm's age, firm-size proxies, and profitability variables.
According to Ahmed
Mansoor Ahmed (2016), total assets and the natural logarithm of
total assets are used as measures of firm size; the former is positively
skewed, and the latter is normally distributed. The Firm-age ratio is a
continuous numerical variable (ranging from 0 to 104) that identifies start-ups
and older firms in the sample. Further sampling of the industry reveals a
cross-section of companies. The descriptive statistics of the data support the
expected results in previous empirical research Ahmad
(2014).
Regression Results Capital structure
is widely accepted as one of the key determinants of a firm’s profitability Ahmed
Mansoor Ahmed (2016). Several studies have empirically tested
both the positive and negative effects, yet results remain inconclusive. Some
scholars argue for a negative association between total debt and profitability.
The manufacture of cement continues to attract considerable interest in capital
structure research, particularly regarding related profitability questions.
Studies conducted across almost all sectors of Pakistan’s economy indicate a
significant inverse relationship between total debt and profitability measures.
Robustness Checks The investigation
goes further from the previous analysis, and robustness tests are performed to
assess the reliability and stability of capital structure-profitability
relationships. The first robustness test is to estimate the main equation with
the control variables and an additional dimension of capital structure
(long-term debt ratio). Then, to reflect changes resulting from the 2011-2012
Eurozone crisis, the estimation period is limited to 2000-2010. Lastly,
entities with sales below $1 million are excluded to filter out very small
entities. Both alternative specifications have a positive capital
structure–profitability link, as in previous literature. Several
alternative econometric approaches evaluate sensitivity to outliers. Firm size
is defined as the number of sales in each model. If long-term debt is under
study, the capital structure dimension will be replaced with total liabilities
and total assets. Capital structure and total assets are log-transformed.
Capital structure and total assets are log-transformed. If the total assets are
alternatively specified as logs, then the control variables, asset growth and
liquidity, are discarded. The other estimates support the positive
leverage-profitability relation that is supported by the argumentation of the
results in earlier empirical studies Aishwarya
et al. (2022). Lastly, model (3) is estimated only for the criteria sample, further
emphasising the previous dependence of profitability on payment obligations. Robustness
analysis supports the main findings on capital structure and addresses some
methodological issues related to data selection, model specification, and
estimation. In the context of non-financial companies listed on the Bombay
Stock Exchange, the relationship between leverage and profitability is complex,
offering insights into the financing and performance dynamics of companies in
emerging markets.
Discussion Although it has
practical significance, the effect of capital structure on profitability
remains a matter of debate. According to most models and previous research,
leverage hurts profitability, but a considerable amount of empirical studies
show a positive link. This analysis supports the latter view, yielding
estimates indicating that profitability is associated with higher leverage, and
that this relationship also holds within manufacturing firms in the Association
of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) member states. The results are
consistent with the Pecking Order Theory and warrant additional research on the
relationship. Leverage is a funding decision driven by the imbalance between
the firm's internal and external sources of funding—it generally occurs at
later stages of development, when the firm's external funding requirements are
for growth or acquisition. This means that the more profitable a manufacturing
company is, the more likely it is to utilise debt. These results are consistent
across alternative specifications, after removing some extreme outliers, and
for various subsectors. Prior research has
sought to identify significant capital structure-firm profitability
relationships in various regions, industries, and data sets. For instance, it
is concluded in India that the automobile industry, construction industry,
information technology industry, and several manufacturing industries have
significant relationships between the capital structure and various
profitability measures such as return on equity (ROE), return on capital
employed (ROCE), and net profit ratio (NPR) in the stock exchange Aishwarya
et al. (2022). It is also observed that there is a significant correlation in
Pakistan's cement industry Ahmad
(2014). In France, the link between companies
depends on their industry affiliation, and in Indonesia, China, Nigeria, Japan,
Oman, Singapore, India and Egypt, evidence shows a strong general relationship
and an industry-specific link between manufacturing companies Kebewar
(2012). Interpretation of Findings Financial
decisions are fundamental to all companies and can take many forms, such as the
mix of equity and debt financing, as well as short- and long-term financing.
Since the 1950s, researchers have had much to say about the capital structure
problem, and it has been a popular topic in the finance literature. The capital
structure of a firm is the mix of debt and equity financing Davis et
al. (2018). The Pecking Order Theory suggests that
retained earnings are preferred to equity Ahmed
Mansoor Ahmed (2016). Debt is easier to obtain when companies
require additional external capital. Companies can gain from the tax shield and
profit maximisation using debt. However, excessive debt can lead to bankruptcy
and erode profitability. Besides, the capital structure-profitability
relationship is different for different types of firms. There is evidence in
the literature that capital structure has both negative and positive
relationships with profitability. Theoretical and practical implications are drawn from the data. A corresponding
contribution to the capital structure and profitability literature finds a
positive relationship between profitability and debt and equity financing
across 31 countries: financial structure is suggested to impact profitability
more than the reverse Kebewar
(2012). The results also accord with the pecking order theory. Specific tests
of the impact of leverage on profitability have been conducted, and it is found
that the relationships differ by industry and firm size; for firms in the
chemical and petroleum industries, the relationship is negative for smaller
firms. Moreover, it was found that capital structure had no significant effect
on profitability, a finding that is particularly notable in the banking
industry Yegon et al. (2014). Annual data from
45 companies in the Persian Gulf Metropolitan Area (PGMA) were used to evaluate
the impact of capital structure on profitability. Results show that assets
associated with short-term debt and assets financed by equity-retained earnings
are positively related to gross and net profitability, respectively, and that
properties financed by equity-retained earnings are negatively related to net
income. A positive association was likewise evidenced in Bahrain’s banking
sector. Supportive
evidence from the Persian Gulf Metropolitan Area also correlates profitability
with in-state financing. It confirms the pecking order theory, but it did not
delineate an alternative capital structure–profitability relationship in the
banking sector”. Better corporate governance and better information sharing are
proposed to build this linkage. Limitations and Future directions of research. There is a
substantial body of literature on the relationship between capital structure
and profitability, but a few areas remain insufficiently explored. Firstly, the
analysis currently carried out is a thorough evaluation of the manufacturing
sector as a whole, but a more in-depth study of other sectors could provide
additional information. This could provide insights into the relationship
between industry-specific capital structure and profitability in emerging
economies, where this relationship may differ markedly from that in developed
economies. Secondly, managers' dividend payment decisions should be examined in
greater detail, particularly with respect to companies' financial health.
Third, the relationship between working capital management and the
profitability of manufacturing companies in emerging economies is also not yet
known. Fourth, multinationals are another under-researched field, as management
typically lacks operational control over international subsidiaries Ahmed
Mansoor Ahmed (2016). Lastly, the 1907 financial crisis can be
used to examine the effects of capital structure and firm performance during
periods of tight external financing. Conclusion There are some
limitations of this study. First, the lack of firm-level data limits the
ability to control for country and macroeconomic factors that are important for
understanding the capital structure–profitability link. Second, there may be
heterogeneous effects across regions, such as East Africa, depending on country
risk and market size. However, the lack of firm-level data has made it
difficult to simulate policies in this area. Thirdly, the lack of firm-level
economic factors means that only accounting numbers related to the financial
capital structure can be analysed. Last but not least, one might overlook the
determinants of a significant unlisted firm sector in the developing region,
which may differ from those of listed firms. The ability to overcome these
limitations is an important direction for future research Davis et
al. (2018). ACKNOWLEDGMENTS None. REFERENCES Ahmed Mansoor Ahmed, M. (2016). An Evaluation of Capital Structure Influencing Profitability: Evidence from the General Industrial Sector Listed on the KSE. Pakistan Journal of Social Sciences, 36(2), 123–135. Aishwarya, P., R, S., & N, S. (2022). A Study on the Impact of Capital Structure on the Profitability of Companies Listed on the Indian Stock Exchange with Respect to the Automobile Industry. International Journal of Research in Commerce & Management, 13(7), 45–58. Ahmad, T. (2014). Impact of Capital Structure on Profitability: An Empirical Analysis of the Cement Sector of Pakistan. Journal of Finance and Accounting Research, 2(1), 67–82. Ario Pratomo, W., & Ghafar Ismail, A. (2006). Islamic Bank Performance and Capital Structure. IIUM Journal of Economics and Management, 14(1), 1–22. https://doi.org/10.1108/08288660610647765 D. (Shinta) Manurung, S. (2014). The Influence of Capital Structure on Profitability and Firm Value (A Study on Food and Beverage Companies Listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange 2010–2012 period). Journal of Economics, Business, and Accountancy Ventura, 17(3), 289–300. Kebewar, M. (2012). La Structure Du Capital et la Profitabilité: Le Cas Des Entreprises Industrielles Françaises [Capital Structure and Profitability: The Case of French Industrial Firms]. Revue d'Économie Industrielle, 139–140, 45–72. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2182057 Kalui,
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